Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade Félix Houphouët-Boigny, Abidjan

Benin

1 - 1

Nigeria

Our Tip

Match Events

16'

Tijani M.

Assist: Olaitan J.

46'

Sub

Osho G. In: Simon M.

Out: Osho G.

46'

Sub

Iheanacho K. In: Onyedika R.

Out: Iheanacho K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Africa Cup of Nations 2025 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Benin

30%

Draws

37%

Nigeria

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nigeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence

Benin haven't matched Nigeria's recent run of results.
Model gives Nigeria a 37% chance of winning this.
Nigeria arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Nigeria, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

Benin Clean Sheet 14%

Nigeria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Benin	Nigeria
Matches Played	28	35
Wins	10	19
Draws	6	8
Losses	12	8
Goals Scored	0.96	1.74
Goals Conceded	1.39	0.97
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 World Championship

Nigeria vs Benin

4:0

Nov 14, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Benin vs Nigeria

1:1

Sep 7, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Nigeria vs Benin

3:0

Jun 10, 2024 World Championship

Benin vs Nigeria

2:1

Mar 27, 2021 Africa Cup of Nations

Benin vs Nigeria

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benin Compare

Top Goalscorer Tijani M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Nigeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Osimhen V.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benin 23 / 100

Nigeria 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Benin Nigeria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NGA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Benin scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Nigeria conceded in 60% of 35 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Benin remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Benin VS Nigeria

0.63 Goals Scored 1.75

1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63

50% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Benin

(Home)

09 Jun

Togo

5 : 1

Benin

05 Jun

Benin

1 : 1

Niger

31 Mar

Guinea

0 : 1

Benin

27 Mar

Benin

1 : 0

Liberia

05 Jan

Egypt

3 : 1

Benin

Page 1 of 6

Nigeria

(Away)

10 Jun

Portugal

2 : 1

Nigeria

03 Jun

Poland

2 : 2

Nigeria

30 May

Jamaica

0 : 3

Nigeria

26 May

Nigeria

2 : 0

Zimbabwe

31 Mar

Jordan

2 : 2

Nigeria

Page 1 of 7