Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade Ibn Batouta, Tanger

Benin

0 - 3

Senegal

Our Tip

Match Events

20'

Dodo D.

24'

Tosin A.

32'

Camara L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Senegal in this Africa Cup of Nations 2025 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Benin

20%

Draws

29%

Senegal

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Benin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence

Senegal have won more games recently than Benin.
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
Senegal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Senegal, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Senegal have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%

Benin Clean Sheet 13%

Senegal Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Benin	Senegal
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	10	17
Draws	6	4
Losses	12	8
Goals Scored	0.96	2.03
Goals Conceded	1.39	0.97
Expected Goals (xG)	0.81	1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 30, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations

Benin vs Senegal

0:3

Mar 26, 2024 Friendly International

Senegal vs Benin

1:0

Jun 17, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations

Benin vs Senegal

1:1

Jun 4, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations

Senegal vs Benin

3:1

Oct 3, 2019 WAFU Cup of Nations

Senegal vs Benin

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benin Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62

Avg xA / game 0.41

Senegal Compare

Top Goalscorer Seck A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Diallo H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benin 31 / 100

Senegal 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Benin Senegal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benin's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Benin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Senegal registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Benin VS Senegal

0.63 Goals Scored 1.88

1.5 Goals Conceded 1

50% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Benin

(Home)

09 Jun

Togo

5 : 1

Benin

05 Jun

Benin

1 : 1

Niger

31 Mar

Guinea

0 : 1

Benin

27 Mar

Benin

1 : 0

Liberia

05 Jan

Egypt

3 : 1

Benin

Page 1 of 6

Senegal

(Away)

01 Jul

Belgium

3 : 2

Senegal

26 Jun

Senegal

5 : 0

Iraq

23 Jun

Norway

3 : 2

Senegal

16 Jun

France

3 : 1

Senegal

09 Jun

Saudi Arabia

0 : 0

Senegal

Page 1 of 6