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Benjamin Aceval vs Nacional Asuncion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa Paraguay Estadio Arsenio Erico, Asunción
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Bailone I.
65' Event
Bailone I.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Benjamin Aceval
20%
Draws
58%
Nacional Asuncion
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nacional Asuncion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Nacional Asuncion carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Nacional Asuncion a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Nacional Asuncion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nacional Asuncion, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Benjamin Aceval Clean Sheet 12%
Nacional Asuncion Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benjamin Aceval Nacional Asuncion
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 6 10
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.34 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Copa Paraguay
Benjamin Aceval vs Nacional Asuncion
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benjamin Aceval Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Nacional Asuncion Compare

Top Goalscorer Bailone I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benjamin Aceval 22 / 100
Nacional Asuncion 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benjamin Aceval Nacional Asuncion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional Asuncion Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benjamin Aceval's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Nacional Asuncion conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Benjamin Aceval remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Benjamin Aceval VS Nacional Asuncion
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Benjamin Aceval

(Home)
18 Oct
Benjamin Aceval
0 : 1
Sol de America
12 Oct
Deportivo Capiata
3 : 1
Benjamin Aceval
06 Oct
Benjamin Aceval
2 : 3
Independiente FBC
26 Sept
Tacuary
2 : 1
Benjamin Aceval
21 Sept
Benjamin Aceval
2 : 1
Atletico Tembetary
Page 1 of 6

Nacional Asuncion

(Away)
17 Oct
Guarani
0 : 2
Nacional Asuncion
12 Oct
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 0
Recoleta
06 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1
Nacional Asuncion
30 Sept
Independiente FBC
3 : 2
Nacional Asuncion
25 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 1
Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Resistencia 0
Cerro Porteno 1
General Caballero JLM 2
Rubio Nu 3
29 de Septiembre FBC 1
San Lorenzo 2
4 de Mayo 3
Fulgencio Yegros 2
1 de Marzo Pilar 2
Atletico Tembetary 3
Sportivo Iteno 2
Guarani 1
Deportivo Humaita FBC 1
2 de Mayo 4
Sol de America 2
Sportivo Trinidense 1
Cristobal Colon FC 3
Olimpia Asuncion 5
Paraguari AC 0
Sp. Luqueno 2
Deportivo Santani 0
Recoleta 2
Guairena FC 3
12 de Octubre 2
Obrero 0
Fernando de la Mora 3
Tacuary 0
Libertad Asuncion 1
Independiente FBC 1
Sportivo Ameliano 0
Benjamin Aceval 0
Nacional Asuncion 2
1/8-finals
Cerro Porteno 2
Rubio Nu 1
San Lorenzo 2
4 de Mayo 1
Atletico Tembetary 2
Sportivo Iteno 0
2 de Mayo 0
Sol de America 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Sp. Luqueno 2
Recoleta 3
Guairena FC 1
Fernando de la Mora 1
Libertad Asuncion 2
Independiente FBC 3
Nacional Asuncion 2
Quarter-finals
Cerro Porteno 3
San Lorenzo 2
Atletico Tembetary 2
Sol de America 3
Sp. Luqueno -
Recoleta -
Libertad Asuncion -
Independiente FBC -
Semi-finals
Cerro Porteno -
Sol de America -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -