Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Benjamin Aceval vs Nacional Asuncion

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa Paraguay Estadio Arsenio Erico, Asunción
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Bailone I.
65' Event
Bailone I.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Benjamin Aceval
15%
Draws
58%
Nacional Asuncion
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nacional Asuncion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Benjamin Aceval's 1.65 goals per match outpaces what Nacional Asuncion have produced (1.38).
  • Model gives Nacional Asuncion a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Nacional Asuncion, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Benjamin Aceval Clean Sheet 15%
Nacional Asuncion Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benjamin Aceval Nacional Asuncion
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 12
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.65 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Copa Paraguay
Benjamin Aceval vs Nacional Asuncion
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benjamin Aceval Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Nacional Asuncion Compare

Top Goalscorer Bailone I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benjamin Aceval 10 / 100
Nacional Asuncion 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benjamin Aceval Nacional Asuncion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional Asuncion Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benjamin Aceval's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Nacional Asuncion let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Benjamin Aceval remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Benjamin Aceval VS Nacional Asuncion
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Benjamin Aceval

(Home)
31 Aug
Encarnacion FC
1 : 3
Benjamin Aceval
23 Aug
Benjamin Aceval
2 : 3
Deportivo Santani
18 Aug
Benjamin Aceval
0 : 2
Nacional Asuncion
14 Aug
Fernando de la Mora
2 : 1
Benjamin Aceval
09 Aug
Benjamin Aceval
2 : 1
3 de Noviembre
Page 1 of 6

Nacional Asuncion

(Away)
02 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0
Libertad Asuncion
28 Aug
San Lorenzo
0 : 3
Nacional Asuncion
24 Aug
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 0
Sp. Luqueno
18 Aug
Benjamin Aceval
0 : 2
Nacional Asuncion
15 Aug
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 1
Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Resistencia 0
Cerro Porteno 1
General Caballero JLM 2
Rubio Nu 3
29 de Septiembre FBC 1
San Lorenzo 2
4 de Mayo 3
Fulgencio Yegros 2
1 de Marzo Pilar 2
Atletico Tembetary 3
Sportivo Iteno 2
Guarani 1
Deportivo Humaita FBC 1
2 de Mayo 4
Sol de America 2
Sportivo Trinidense 1
Cristobal Colon FC 3
Olimpia Asuncion 5
Paraguari AC 0
Sp. Luqueno 2
Deportivo Santani 0
Recoleta 2
Guairena FC 3
12 de Octubre 2
Obrero 0
Fernando de la Mora 3
Tacuary 0
Libertad Asuncion 1
Independiente FBC 1
Sportivo Ameliano 0
Benjamin Aceval 0
Nacional Asuncion 2
1/8-finals
Cerro Porteno -
Rubio Nu -
San Lorenzo -
4 de Mayo -
Atletico Tembetary -
Sportivo Iteno -
2 de Mayo -
Sol de America -
Olimpia Asuncion -
Sp. Luqueno -
Recoleta -
Guairena FC -
Fernando de la Mora -
Libertad Asuncion -
Independiente FBC -
Nacional Asuncion -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -