Sport Picks

Australia

NPL Victoria Kingston Heath Soccer Complex

Dandenong City SC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bentleigh Greens play Dandenong City SC in the NPL Victoria. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bentleigh Greens averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. Dandenong City SC averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. In past meetings, Bentleigh Greens won 3, Dandenong City SC won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Bentleigh Greens and 2.56 for Dandenong City SC. This points to a Dandenong City SC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Bentleigh Greens

25%

Draws

38%

Dandenong City SC

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Dandenong City SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Bentleigh Greens picked up more points recently compared to Dandenong City SC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 2.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Bentleigh Greens Clean Sheet 10%

Dandenong City SC Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bentleigh Greens	Dandenong City SC
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	11	13
Draws	6	10
Losses	12	8
Goals Scored	1.07	1.58
Goals Conceded	1.69	1.16
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.50	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 NPL Victoria

Dandenong City SC vs Bentleigh Greens

Possession: 40% - 42% Cards: 1 - 0

3:0

Aug 21, 2022 NPL Victoria

Dandenong City SC vs Bentleigh Greens

Possession: 59% - 51% Cards: 0 - 3

0:5

May 13, 2022 NPL Victoria

Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong City SC

Possession: 58% - 48% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Aug 6, 2021 NPL Victoria

Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong City SC

Possession: 56% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

May 7, 2021 NPL Victoria

Dandenong City SC vs Bentleigh Greens

Possession: 46% - 56% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bentleigh Greens 35 / 100

Dandenong City SC 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bentleigh Greens Dandenong City SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dandenong City SC or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bentleigh Greens attacking → ← attacking Dandenong City SC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bentleigh Greens scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Dandenong City SC let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Bentleigh Greens went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Dandenong City SC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 49

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

3.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Oakleigh Cannons	19	12	5	2	41:18	41
2	Hume City	19	12	4	3	39:22	40
3	Avondale FC	19	11	1	7	53:25	34
4	Heidelberg Utd	19	9	4	6	31:24	31
5	Melbourne City U21	18	8	5	5	35:20	29
6	Preston Lions	18	11	2	5	28:15	29
7	South Melbourne	19	9	1	9	29:32	28
8	George Cross	19	6	8	5	25:26	26
9	Dandenong City SC	19	7	5	7	26:25	22
10	St Albans	19	6	4	9	21:34	22
11	Altona Magic	19	5	4	10	21:35	19
12	Bentleigh Greens	19	4	4	11	17:42	16
13	Dandenong Thunder	19	3	3	13	20:42	12
14	Green Gully	19	2	4	13	13:39	10