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Bentleigh Greens vs Melbourne City U21

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Kingston Heath Soccer Complex
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Memeti M.
11' Event
Wong L.
27' Event
Ballah R.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Victoria game between Bentleigh Greens and Melbourne City U21 finished 0-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Melbourne City U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Bentleigh Greens
6%
Draws
90%
Melbourne City U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Melbourne City U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Melbourne City U21 come out ahead of Bentleigh Greens on wins alone.
  • Melbourne City U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Bentleigh Greens Clean Sheet 10%
Melbourne City U21 Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bentleigh Greens Melbourne City U21
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.75 2.5
Goals Conceded 3.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 NPL Victoria
Bentleigh Greens vs Melbourne City U21
0:7
May 23, 2025 Victoria Premier League
Bentleigh Greens vs Melbourne City U21
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Victoria Premier League
Melbourne City U21 vs Bentleigh Greens
1:0
Jul 27, 2024 Victoria Premier League
Melbourne City U21 vs Bentleigh Greens
2:1
Apr 26, 2024 Victoria Premier League
Bentleigh Greens vs Melbourne City U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bentleigh Greens Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Melbourne City U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Memeti M.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Wong L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bentleigh Greens 10 / 100
Melbourne City U21 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bentleigh Greens Melbourne City U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Melbourne City U21 conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Bentleigh Greens scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Melbourne City U21 registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bentleigh Greens VS Melbourne City U21
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
3.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Oakleigh Cannons20135243:1844
2Hume City20124440:2440
3Avondale FC20111853:2734
4Preston Lions19122530:1632
5Heidelberg Utd2095633:2632
6South Melbourne20101931:3231
7Melbourne City U211986537:2230
8George Cross2069527:2827
9St Albans2065923:3623
10Dandenong City SC2075826:2722
11Altona Magic20641024:3622
12Bentleigh Greens20441218:4416
13Dandenong Thunder20431322:4315
14Green Gully20241414:4210