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Bentleigh Greens vs Northcote City

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Webb A.
37' Event
Saul C.
52' Event
Saul C.

AI Match Summary

Bentleigh Greens host Northcote City in the Victoria Premier League 2025. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Bentleigh Greens at 0.5 goals for, 3.38 against; Northcote City at 1.5 for, 1.13 against. Past meetings favor Bentleigh Greens slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 24, 2025, ending 3:1. xG projections (0.81 - 2.44) back Northcote City to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Bentleigh Greens
6%
Draws
90%
Northcote City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Northcote City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Northcote City has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Bentleigh Greens.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Northcote City.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Victoria Premier League 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Bentleigh Greens Clean Sheet 10%
Northcote City Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bentleigh Greens Northcote City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 3.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2025 Victoria Premier League
Bentleigh Greens vs Northcote City
3:1
May 9, 2025 Victoria Premier League
Northcote City vs Bentleigh Greens
1:2
Jun 14, 2024 Victoria Premier League
Northcote City vs Bentleigh Greens
2:0
Mar 8, 2024 Victoria Premier League
Bentleigh Greens vs Northcote City
1:2
Jun 23, 2018 NPL Victoria
Northcote City vs Bentleigh Greens
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bentleigh Greens Compare

Top Goalscorer Saul C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Broxham L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Northcote City Compare

Top Goalscorer Webb A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bentleigh Greens 10 / 100
Northcote City 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bentleigh Greens Northcote City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bentleigh Greens scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Northcote City let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Bentleigh Greens went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Northcote City lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bentleigh Greens VS Northcote City
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bentleigh Greens26184445:2058
2George Cross26190777:3557
3Melbourne City U2126166466:2854
4Western United U2126137661:5046
5Brunswick City26126843:3942
6North Sunshine Eagles261231151:4039
7Melbourne Srbija26107945:3837
8Bulleen261031335:4133
9Northcote City26951245:4432
10Langwarrin26921537:5429
11Manningham United Blues26671335:6525
12Eastern Lions26641636:5822
13Kingston City26561544:6921
14Moreland City26621836:7520