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Berceo vs Agoncillo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Alonso J.
21' Event
Hamoudi N.
58' Event
El Ouardi E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Agoncillo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Agoncillo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Berceo
15%
Draws
45%
Agoncillo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Agoncillo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Berceo lately — more wins on the board than Agoncillo.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Agoncillo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Berceo Clean Sheet 12%
Agoncillo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berceo Agoncillo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.7 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Agoncillo
1:3
Mar 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Agoncillo vs Berceo
0:0
Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Agoncillo
1:6
Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Agoncillo vs Berceo
0:1
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Agoncillo
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Berceo Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonso J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Agoncillo Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamoudi N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pascual A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berceo 27 / 100
Agoncillo 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berceo Agoncillo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Agoncillo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Berceo's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Agoncillo conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Berceo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Berceo VS Agoncillo
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Berceo

(Home)
31 Oct
Calasancio
0 : 1
Berceo
25 Oct
Berceo
1 : 3
Agoncillo
18 Oct
Oyonesa
2 : 0
Berceo
11 Oct
Berceo
5 : 1
CDFC La Calzada
04 Oct
Pradejon
1 : 2
Berceo
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Agoncillo

(Away)
01 Nov
Agoncillo
1 : 0
River Ebro
25 Oct
Berceo
1 : 3
Agoncillo
17 Oct
Agoncillo
2 : 2
Comillas CF
11 Oct
Varea
1 : 0
Agoncillo
04 Oct
Agoncillo
2 : 0
Vianes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haro Deportivo 9 7 1 1 22:13 22
2 CDFC La Calzada 9 7 0 2 15:11 21
3 Alfaro 9 6 1 2 12:8 19
4 CD Calahorra 9 6 0 3 26:10 18
5 Berceo 9 6 0 3 21:11 18
6 Anguiano 9 5 2 2 16:7 17
7 Varea 9 4 4 1 8:5 16
8 Agoncillo 9 4 3 2 18:12 15
9 San Marcial 9 4 3 2 12:7 15
10 Oyonesa 9 4 2 3 14:11 14
11 Pradejon 9 4 1 4 10:12 13
12 Yague 9 3 0 6 9:19 9
13 Calasancio 9 2 2 5 9:18 8
14 River Ebro 9 2 1 6 9:19 7
15 Comillas CF 9 1 3 5 6:12 6
16 Cenicero 9 1 2 6 8:16 5
17 Vianes 9 1 1 7 10:17 4
18 Casalarreina CF 9 1 0 8 6:23 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 (Play Offs)