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Berceo vs Alfaro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Berceo host Alfaro in the Tercera RFEF - Group 16. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Berceo have averaged 1.69 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Alfaro's 1.1 scored and 1.6 conceded. Past meetings favor Alfaro slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 7, 2024, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.38, favoring Berceo. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Berceo
15%
Draws
49%
Alfaro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alfaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Alfaro haven't matched Berceo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Berceo a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Berceo Clean Sheet 17%
Alfaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berceo Alfaro
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.69 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Alfaro vs Berceo
2:2
Nov 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Alfaro
2:0
Jan 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Alfaro vs Berceo
1:0
Sep 19, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Alfaro
0:4
Feb 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Alfaro vs Berceo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berceo 36 / 100
Alfaro 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berceo Alfaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Berceo scored in 83% of their last 35 games.

Alfaro has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Berceo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Berceo VS Alfaro
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Berceo

(Home)
31 Oct
Calasancio
0 : 1
Berceo
25 Oct
Berceo
1 : 3
Agoncillo
18 Oct
Oyonesa
2 : 0
Berceo
11 Oct
Berceo
5 : 1
CDFC La Calzada
04 Oct
Pradejon
1 : 2
Berceo
Page 1 of 7

Alfaro

(Away)
01 Nov
Alfaro
1 : 0
Comillas CF
25 Oct
Varea
1 : 0
Alfaro
18 Oct
Alfaro
1 : 0
Vianes
11 Oct
Casalarreina CF
0 : 1
Alfaro
04 Oct
Alfaro
2 : 1
CD Calahorra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haro Deportivo 9 7 1 1 22:13 22
2 CDFC La Calzada 9 7 0 2 15:11 21
3 Alfaro 9 6 1 2 12:8 19
4 CD Calahorra 9 6 0 3 26:10 18
5 Berceo 9 6 0 3 21:11 18
6 Anguiano 9 5 2 2 16:7 17
7 Varea 9 4 4 1 8:5 16
8 Agoncillo 9 4 3 2 18:12 15
9 San Marcial 9 4 3 2 12:7 15
10 Oyonesa 9 4 2 3 14:11 14
11 Pradejon 9 4 1 4 10:12 13
12 Yague 9 3 0 6 9:19 9
13 Calasancio 9 2 2 5 9:18 8
14 River Ebro 9 2 1 6 9:19 7
15 Comillas CF 9 1 3 5 6:12 6
16 Cenicero 9 1 2 6 8:16 5
17 Vianes 9 1 1 7 10:17 4
18 Casalarreina CF 9 1 0 8 6:23 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 (Play Offs)