Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Berceo vs Autol

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Alonso J.
48' Event
Alonso J.
68' Event
Alonso J.

AI Match Summary

Berceo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Berceo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Berceo
20%
Draws
29%
Autol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Berceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Berceo lately — more wins on the board than Autol.
  • Berceo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Berceo Clean Sheet 68%
Autol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berceo Autol
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 2
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 1.45 0.47
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Autol vs Berceo
2:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Autol
5:0
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Autol vs Berceo
3:0
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Autol
1:1
Feb 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Autol vs Berceo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Berceo Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonso J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Navajas Torrero I.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Autol Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berceo 95 / 100
Autol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berceo Autol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Berceo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Autol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Berceo found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Berceo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Berceo VS Autol
1.5 Goals Scored 0.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Berceo

(Home)
20 Sept
Cenicero
2 : 1
Berceo
13 Sept
Berceo
7 : 0
River Ebro
05 Sept
Yague
1 : 2
Berceo
10 May
Autol
2 : 1
Berceo
30 Apr
Berceo
2 : 0
Yague
Page 1 of 6

Autol

(Away)
10 May
Autol
2 : 1
Berceo
03 May
UD Logrones B
8 : 0
Autol
26 Apr
Autol
0 : 0
Oyonesa
19 Apr
Pradejon
1 : 0
Autol
12 Apr
Autol
1 : 1
Anguiano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)