Sport Picks
Berceo vs CDFC La Calzada Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 
Match Events
21'
21'
Muro M.
89'
89'
Navajas Torrero I.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between Berceo and CDFC La Calzada finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Berceo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- CDFC La Calzada carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Berceo a 43% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Berceo Clean Sheet 18%
CDFC La Calzada Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Berceo | CDFC La Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 35 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.56 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.42 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs CDFC La Calzada
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs Berceo
3:2
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs CDFC La Calzada
2:3
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs Berceo
0:0
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs Berceo
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Berceo Compare
Top Goalscorer Navajas Torrero I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
CDFC La Calzada Compare
Top Goalscorer Muro M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Berceo 58 / 100
CDFC La Calzada 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Berceo CDFC La Calzada
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Berceo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Berceo scored in 81% of their last 36 outings.
CDFC La Calzada let in goals in 66% of their last 35 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Berceo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Berceo VS CDFC La Calzada
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Berceo
(Home) 27 Sept
Berceo
2 : 1 San Marcial
20 Sept
Cenicero
2 : 1 Berceo
13 Sept
Berceo
7 : 0 River Ebro
05 Sept
Yague
1 : 2 Berceo
10 May
Autol
2 : 1 Berceo
Page 1 of 8
27 Sept
Berceo
2 : 1 San Marcial
13 Sept
Berceo
7 : 0 River Ebro
30 Apr
Berceo
2 : 0 Yague
26 Apr
Berceo
1 : 2 UD Logrones B
12 Apr
Berceo
4 : 1 Pradejon
Page 1 of 4
CDFC La Calzada
(Away) 27 Sept
Varea
1 : 0 CDFC La Calzada
20 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2 Vianes
13 Sept
Casalarreina CF
0 : 3 CDFC La Calzada
06 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 1 CD Calahorra
19 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
0 : 1 Mirandes
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Varea
1 : 0 CDFC La Calzada
13 Sept
Casalarreina CF
0 : 3 CDFC La Calzada
03 May
Anguiano
1 : 0 CDFC La Calzada
19 Apr
Agoncillo
1 : 1 CDFC La Calzada
05 Apr
CD Calahorra
3 : 1 CDFC La Calzada
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 34 | 26 | 8 | 0 | 99:22 | 86 |
| 2 | Varea | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:25 | 73 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 72:26 | 72 |
| 4 | CD Calahorra | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 86:26 | 63 |
| 5 | Oyonesa | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 54:41 | 61 |
| 6 | Anguiano | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 49:36 | 60 |
| 7 | Haro Deportivo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54:46 | 51 |
| 8 | Agoncillo | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 59:49 | 47 |
| 9 | Vianes | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39:51 | 42 |
| 10 | Yague | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 48:52 | 40 |
| 11 | San Marcial | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39:59 | 39 |
| 12 | Berceo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 42:50 | 39 |
| 13 | CDFC La Calzada | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 40:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Comillas CF | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 32:58 | 38 |
| 15 | Pradejon | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 30:49 | 35 |
| 16 | Villegas | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 36:66 | 28 |
| 17 | Autol | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 20:80 | 18 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 34 | 0 | 11 | 23 | 27:86 | 11 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
