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Berceo vs CDFC La Calzada - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Berceo host CDFC La Calzada in the Tercera RFEF - Group 16. Little to choose between these two on current form. CDFC La Calzada have shipped 1.42 goals a game lately, while Berceo have conceded 1.24 and scored 1.65. Head-to-head, Berceo have won 0 to CDFC La Calzada's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.63 - 1.44) back Berceo to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Berceo
15%
Draws
42%
CDFC La Calzada
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Berceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • CDFC La Calzada haven't matched Berceo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Berceo's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Berceo Clean Sheet 16%
CDFC La Calzada Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berceo CDFC La Calzada
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 15 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.65 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs CDFC La Calzada
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs Berceo
3:2
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs CDFC La Calzada
2:3
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs Berceo
0:0
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs Berceo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berceo 57 / 100
CDFC La Calzada 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berceo CDFC La Calzada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Berceo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Berceo scored in 82% of their last 34 outings.

CDFC La Calzada has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Berceo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Berceo VS CDFC La Calzada
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Berceo

(Home)
04 Oct
Pradejon
1 : 2
Berceo
27 Sept
Berceo
2 : 1
San Marcial
20 Sept
Cenicero
2 : 1
Berceo
13 Sept
Berceo
7 : 0
River Ebro
05 Sept
Yague
1 : 2
Berceo
Page 1 of 7

CDFC La Calzada

(Away)
04 Oct
CDFC La Calzada
1 : 0
Comillas CF
27 Sept
Varea
1 : 0
CDFC La Calzada
20 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2
Vianes
13 Sept
Casalarreina CF
0 : 3
CDFC La Calzada
06 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 1
CD Calahorra
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haro Deportivo 5 4 1 0 12:6 13
2 Berceo 5 4 0 1 14:5 12
3 CDFC La Calzada 5 4 0 1 9:4 12
4 Alfaro 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
5 Pradejon 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 CD Calahorra 5 3 0 2 14:7 9
7 Agoncillo 5 2 2 1 12:8 8
8 Anguiano 6 2 2 2 8:6 8
9 Varea 5 1 4 0 4:3 7
10 San Marcial 5 1 3 1 4:4 6
11 Yague 6 2 0 4 5:11 6
12 Cenicero 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Oyonesa 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
14 Comillas CF 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
15 Calasancio 5 1 2 2 7:12 5
16 River Ebro 6 1 1 4 6:15 4
17 Casalarreina CF 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
18 Vianes 5 0 1 4 5:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 (Play Offs)