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Berceo vs Haro Deportivo

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Berceo play Haro Deportivo in the Tercera RFEF - Group 16. It looks like a close match. Recently, Berceo averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Haro Deportivo averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Berceo won 2, Haro Deportivo won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Berceo and 1.63 for Haro Deportivo. This points to a Haro Deportivo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Berceo
39%
Draws
30%
Haro Deportivo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Haro Deportivo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Berceo.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 16 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Berceo Clean Sheet 14%
Haro Deportivo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berceo Haro Deportivo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.25 2
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Haro Deportivo
2:3
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Haro Deportivo vs Berceo
3:0
Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Haro Deportivo
0:0
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Haro Deportivo vs Berceo
2:3
Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Haro Deportivo
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Berceo Compare

Top Goalscorer Navajas Torrero I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Haro Deportivo Compare

Top Goalscorer Dani Gomez
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zunzu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berceo 31 / 100
Haro Deportivo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berceo Haro Deportivo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Berceo scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Haro Deportivo let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Berceo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Haro Deportivo lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Berceo VS Haro Deportivo
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UD Logrones B34268099:2286
2Varea34227551:2573
3Arnedo34219472:2672
4CD Calahorra341712586:2663
5Oyonesa34187954:4161
6Anguiano34179849:3660
7Haro Deportivo341491154:4651
8Agoncillo341381359:4947
9Vianes341191439:5142
10Yague349131248:5240
11San Marcial341091539:5939
12Berceo341091542:5039
13CDFC La Calzada341081640:5538
14Comillas CF341151832:5838
15Pradejon34981730:4935
16Villegas34772036:6628
17Autol34462420:8018
18Pena Balsamaiso340112327:8611