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Berco vs Amarante FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022
Berco Logo

Berco

1 - 1
FT
Amarante FC Logo

Amarante FC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Berco
30%
Draws
47%
Amarante FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Amarante FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Amarante FC lately — more wins on the board than Berco.
  • Win probability leans Amarante FC's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Amarante FC here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Berco Clean Sheet 19%
Amarante FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berco Amarante FC
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 17
Draws 5 9
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 1.2 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.8 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Berco vs Amarante FC
1:3
Apr 10, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Amarante FC vs Berco
2:1
Mar 6, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Berco vs Amarante FC
1:1
Dec 12, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Amarante FC vs Berco
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berco 24 / 100
Amarante FC 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berco Amarante FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amarante FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Berco's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Amarante FC has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Berco stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Amarante FC
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Berco

(Home)
08 May
Berco
1 : 3
Amarante FC
01 May
Tirsense
3 : 2
Berco
24 Apr
Berco
1 : 0
SC Vila Real
10 Apr
Amarante FC
2 : 1
Berco
03 Apr
Berco
2 : 2
Tirsense
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Amarante FC

(Away)
20 Sept
Ponte da Barca
0 : 2
Amarante FC
13 Sept
Amarante FC
2 : 2
Leiria
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1
Amarante FC
30 Aug
Amarante FC
1 : 0
Benfica B
22 Aug
Vizela
0 : 0
Amarante FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paredes 18 12 3 3 23:9 39
2 Sao Martinho 18 11 5 2 29:10 38
3 Tirsense 18 9 7 2 17:8 34
4 SC Mirandela 18 10 3 5 21:16 33
5 Amarante FC 18 8 6 4 33:21 30
6 Vila Mea 18 7 3 8 22:20 24
7 SC Vila Real 18 4 5 9 21:36 17
8 Santa Marta Penaguiao 18 4 3 11 15:33 15
9 Berco 18 3 4 11 16:27 13
10 Macedo de Cavaleiros 18 1 3 14 10:27 6
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)