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Berdenia Berbourg vs Jeunesse Esch

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2018/2019
Sat, Sep 22, 2018
0 - 3
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Berdenia Berbourg play Jeunesse Esch in the Luxembourg Cup 2018/2019. Jeunesse Esch are favorites here. Recently, Berdenia Berbourg averaged 1.22 goals scored and 2.11 conceded. Jeunesse Esch averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Berdenia Berbourg won 0, Jeunesse Esch won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 22, 2018 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Berdenia Berbourg and 1.05 for Jeunesse Esch. This points to a Jeunesse Esch double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Berdenia Berbourg
15%
Draws
59%
Jeunesse Esch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jeunesse Esch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Berdenia Berbourg picked up more points recently compared to Jeunesse Esch.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.05 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Berdenia Berbourg Clean Sheet 22%
Jeunesse Esch Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berdenia Berbourg Jeunesse Esch
Matches Played 18 38
Wins 5 16
Draws 0 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.22 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2018 Luxembourg Cup
Berdenia Berbourg vs Jeunesse Esch
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berdenia Berbourg 28 / 100
Jeunesse Esch 55 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berdenia Berbourg Jeunesse Esch

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jeunesse Esch Win (2)
Secondary Pick Jeunesse Esch & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Berdenia Berbourg attacking → ← attacking Jeunesse Esch

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Berdenia Berbourg scored in 56% of their last 18 games.

Jeunesse Esch let in goals in 79% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Berdenia Berbourg went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Jeunesse Esch lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 56
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75