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Berdenia Berbourg vs Mondorf Prediction & H2H Stats

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mondorf in this Luxembourg Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Berdenia Berbourg
15%
Draws
51%
Mondorf
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mondorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mondorf lately — more wins on the board than Berdenia Berbourg.
  • Mondorf are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Mondorf arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mondorf, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Berdenia Berbourg Clean Sheet 14%
Mondorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berdenia Berbourg Mondorf
Matches Played 20 31
Wins 6 19
Draws 0 4
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.55 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 Luxembourg Cup
Berdenia Berbourg vs Mondorf
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berdenia Berbourg 10 / 100
Mondorf 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berdenia Berbourg Mondorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mondorf Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Berdenia Berbourg found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (20 games).

Defensive concern: Mondorf conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Berdenia Berbourg stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Berdenia Berbourg VS Mondorf
4.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Berdenia Berbourg

(Home)
20 Sept
Alliance Aischdall
0 : 7
Berdenia Berbourg
25 Jul
Berdenia Berbourg
2 : 4
Jeunesse Esch
09 Nov
Berdenia Berbourg
0 : 2
Mondorf
21 Sept
FC Kopstal 33
1 : 2
Berdenia Berbourg
05 Oct
FC Orania Vianden
4 : 3
Berdenia Berbourg
Page 1 of 4

Mondorf

(Away)
20 Sept
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz
1 : 10
Mondorf
16 Sept
FC Residence Walferdange
2 : 1
Mondorf
13 Sept
Mondorf
1 : 2
UNA Strassen
06 Sept
Bissen
1 : 2
Mondorf
30 Aug
Mondorf
2 : 1
Progres Niedercorn
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Ehlerange 0
Differdange 9
Jeunesse Schieren 0
Union Titus Petange 4
Les Aiglons Dalheim 2
The Belval Belvaux 6
Grevenmacher 0
UNA Strassen 3
Kehlen 2
Ettelbruck 3
Echternach 0
Racing Luxembourg 7
FC Munsbach 3
FC Residence Walferdange 1
US Sandweiler 2
Jeunesse Canach 5
Avenir Beggen 2
Rumelange 3
Jeunesse Biwer 1
Fola 4
Oberkorn 0
Hesperange 3
Racing Heiderscheid/Eschdorf 0
Hostert 4
FC Koerich/Simmern 2
Koeppchen 0
FC Schengen 2
Luxembourg City 4
Gasperich 0
Lorentzweiler 1
US Folschette 0
FC Rodange 91 5
Union Remich/Bous 1
Dudelange 3
FC Noertzange HF 0
Bissen 9
FC Kopstal 33 1
Berdenia Berbourg 2
CS Sanem 1
Mondorf 6
Olympia Christnach/Waldbillig 2
Wiltz 6
ALSS Luxembourg 2
FC Marisca Mersch 4
Syra Mensdorf 0
Progres Niedercorn 3
Blo Weiss Medernach 1
Jeunesse Esch 2
Miniere Lasauvage 2
US Feulen 4
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
Bettembourg 6
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 3
Schifflange 2
Mertzig 2
Alisontia Steinsel 3
Jeunesse Gilsdorf 1
FC Mamer 2
Lintgen 0
Kaerjeng 3
FF Norden 1
Mondercange 4
US Moutfort/Medingen 2
Victoria Rosport 3
1/16-finals
Differdange 2
Union Titus Petange 1
The Belval Belvaux 2
UNA Strassen 4
Ettelbruck 2
Racing Luxembourg 3
FC Munsbach 2
Jeunesse Canach 3
Rumelange 2
Fola 4
Hesperange 0
Hostert 3
FC Koerich/Simmern 0
Luxembourg City 2
Lorentzweiler 2
FC Rodange 91 4
Dudelange 1
Bissen 4
Berdenia Berbourg 0
Mondorf 2
Wiltz 6
FC Marisca Mersch 0
Progres Niedercorn 1
Jeunesse Esch 0
US Feulen 2
Bettembourg 1
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Alisontia Steinsel 2
FC Mamer 2
Kaerjeng 0
Mondercange 2
Victoria Rosport 3
1/8-finals
Differdange 4
UNA Strassen 3
Racing Luxembourg 3
Jeunesse Canach 2
Fola 3
Hostert 1
Luxembourg City 0
FC Rodange 91 2
Bissen 2
Mondorf 1
Wiltz 0
Progres Niedercorn 1
US Feulen 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
FC Mamer 2
Victoria Rosport 3
Quarter-finals
Differdange 2
Racing Luxembourg 0
Fola 0
FC Rodange 91 1
Bissen 1
Progres Niedercorn 2
US Feulen 1
Victoria Rosport 2
Semi-finals
Differdange 2
FC Rodange 91 1
Progres Niedercorn 2
Victoria Rosport 3
Final
Differdange 4
Victoria Rosport 1