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Bergantinos vs Amorebieta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Saiz K.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 game between Bergantinos and Amorebieta finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bergantinos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Bergantinos
20%
Draws
48%
Amorebieta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Amorebieta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Bergantinos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bergantinos's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Bergantinos Clean Sheet 68%
Amorebieta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergantinos Amorebieta
Matches Played 35 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.74 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Amorebieta
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bergantinos Compare

Top Goalscorer Saiz K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Amorebieta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergantinos 50 / 100
Amorebieta 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergantinos Amorebieta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bergantinos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bergantinos's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Defensive concern: Amorebieta conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Bergantinos remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Bergantinos VS Amorebieta
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergantinos

(Home)
01 Nov
Bergantinos
1 : 1
Ourense CF
24 Oct
Eibar B
3 : 2
Bergantinos
18 Oct
Bergantinos
3 : 0
Real Oviedo B
11 Oct
Arosa SC
2 : 2
Bergantinos
04 Oct
Bergantinos
3 : 1
Coruxo FC
Page 1 of 7

Amorebieta

(Away)
01 Nov
Amorebieta
1 : 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
24 Oct
Amorebieta
2 : 1
Coruxo FC
17 Oct
Gernika Club
1 : 2
Amorebieta
10 Oct
Amorebieta
1 : 2
Portugalete
03 Oct
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Amorebieta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sestao 9 7 1 1 11:3 22
2 Alaves B 9 6 2 1 23:12 20
3 Bergantinos 9 5 3 1 20:11 18
4 Eibar B 9 5 2 2 15:8 17
5 Amorebieta 9 5 1 3 11:8 16
6 Compostela 9 4 2 3 11:8 14
7 Ourense CF 9 4 2 3 9:9 14
8 Real Oviedo B 9 4 2 3 12:15 14
9 Portugalete 9 3 4 2 12:12 13
10 Gernika Club 9 2 5 2 15:9 11
11 Basconia 9 2 5 2 13:14 11
12 Coruxo FC 9 2 2 5 8:12 8
13 Arosa SC 9 1 5 3 15:20 8
14 Rayo Cantabria 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
15 Marino De Luanco 9 2 2 5 8:13 8
16 Atletico Astorga 9 2 1 6 11:14 7
17 Llanera 9 2 1 6 12:21 7
18 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 9 1 2 6 7:19 5
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)