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Bergantinos vs Amorebieta

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Saiz K.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 game between Bergantinos and Amorebieta finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bergantinos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Bergantinos
30%
Draws
23%
Amorebieta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bergantinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Bergantinos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bergantinos's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Bergantinos Clean Sheet 68%
Amorebieta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergantinos Amorebieta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Amorebieta
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bergantinos Compare

Top Goalscorer Saiz K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Amorebieta Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergantinos 68 / 100
Amorebieta 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergantinos Amorebieta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bergantinos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bergantinos's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Amorebieta conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Bergantinos remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Bergantinos VS Amorebieta
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergantinos

(Home)
20 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 3
Bergantinos
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Bergantinos
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0
Amorebieta
09 Sept
Bergantinos
5 : 0
Leioa
06 Sept
Gernika Club
2 : 2
Bergantinos
Page 1 of 6

Amorebieta

(Away)
20 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 2
Amorebieta
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0
Amorebieta
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2
Arosa SC
29 Aug
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 0
Amorebieta
26 Aug
Gernika Club
1 : 1
Amorebieta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gernika Club 3 2 1 0 10:2 7
2 Bergantinos 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Portugalete 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
4 Eibar B 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
5 Alaves B 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
6 Ourense CF 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
7 Sestao 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
8 Coruxo FC 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
9 Amorebieta 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
10 Basconia 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
11 Compostela 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
12 Atletico Astorga 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
13 Marino De Luanco 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
14 Real Oviedo B 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
15 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
16 Arosa SC 3 0 2 1 4:8 2
17 Rayo Cantabria 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
18 Llanera 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)