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Bergantinos vs Coruxo FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Alex Pachon
34' Event
Arruabarrena J.
45' Event
Sanchez A.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 game between Bergantinos and Coruxo FC finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bergantinos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Bergantinos
20%
Draws
24%
Coruxo FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bergantinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bergantinos come out ahead of Coruxo FC on wins alone.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Bergantinos taking it.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Bergantinos Clean Sheet 68%
Coruxo FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergantinos Coruxo FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Coruxo FC
3:1
Mar 29, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Coruxo FC
0:1
Oct 12, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Coruxo FC vs Bergantinos
0:1
Jan 25, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Coruxo FC
0:1
Sep 15, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Coruxo FC vs Bergantinos
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bergantinos Compare

Top Goalscorer Alex Pachon
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Coruxo FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Arruabarrena J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergantinos 95 / 100
Coruxo FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergantinos Coruxo FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bergantinos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bergantinos found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Coruxo FC conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bergantinos stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bergantinos VS Coruxo FC
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergantinos

(Home)
04 Oct
Bergantinos
3 : 1
Coruxo FC
27 Sept
Bergantinos
3 : 2
Portugalete
20 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 3
Bergantinos
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Bergantinos
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0
Amorebieta
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Coruxo FC

(Away)
04 Oct
Bergantinos
3 : 1
Coruxo FC
27 Sept
Coruxo FC
1 : 1
Gernika Club
19 Sept
Portugalete
2 : 1
Coruxo FC
13 Sept
Coruxo FC
1 : 1
Rayo Cantabria
05 Sept
Alaves B
0 : 2
Coruxo FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
2 Eibar B 6 4 1 1 11:4 13
3 Sestao 6 4 1 1 7:3 13
4 Alaves B 5 4 0 1 12:6 12
5 Portugalete 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
6 Ourense CF 6 3 1 2 5:7 10
7 Basconia 6 2 3 1 10:9 9
8 Gernika Club 5 2 2 1 12:5 8
9 Amorebieta 6 2 1 3 6:6 7
10 Real Oviedo B 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
11 Llanera 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
12 Atletico Astorga 6 2 0 4 9:7 6
13 Marino De Luanco 6 2 0 4 8:12 6
14 Coruxo FC 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
15 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
16 Compostela 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
17 Arosa SC 5 0 3 2 6:13 3
18 Rayo Cantabria 5 0 1 4 3:11 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)