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Bergantinos vs Lealtad

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Rodriguez J.
80' Event
Gonzalez D.
90' Event
Perez Bujan A.

AI Match Summary

Bergantinos in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bergantinos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Bergantinos
15%
Draws
8%
Lealtad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bergantinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bergantinos lately — more wins on the board than Lealtad.
  • Bergantinos are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Bergantinos have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Bergantinos Clean Sheet 68%
Lealtad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergantinos Lealtad
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Lealtad
3:0
Dec 14, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Lealtad vs Bergantinos
0:1
Dec 5, 2018 Copa Federacion
Bergantinos vs Lealtad
1:0
Nov 21, 2018 Copa Federacion
Lealtad vs Bergantinos
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bergantinos Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lealtad Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergantinos 95 / 100
Lealtad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergantinos Lealtad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lealtad has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Bergantinos's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Bergantinos remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bergantinos VS Lealtad
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergantinos

(Home)
03 May
UD Samano
0 : 5
Bergantinos
26 Apr
Bergantinos
1 : 3
UD Ourense
18 Apr
Real Oviedo B
1 : 2
Bergantinos
12 Apr
Bergantinos
0 : 1
Sarriana
05 Apr
Valladolid Promesas
3 : 4
Bergantinos
Page 1 of 6

Lealtad

(Away)
07 Aug
Llanera
1 : 0
Lealtad
03 May
Salamanca CF UDS
2 : 1
Lealtad
26 Apr
Lealtad
2 : 2
Coruxo FC
19 Apr
UD Ourense
3 : 1
Lealtad
12 Apr
Lealtad
2 : 3
Valladolid Promesas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 34 20 9 5 59:22 69
2 Real Oviedo B 34 16 10 8 50:35 58
3 Numancia 34 15 11 8 46:31 56
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 40:34 55
5 Coruxo FC 34 15 7 12 46:37 52
6 Gimnastica Segoviana 34 14 9 11 37:36 51
7 Real Avila 34 14 8 12 48:52 50
8 Salamanca CF UDS 34 14 8 12 43:36 50
9 Rayo Cantabria 34 11 15 8 63:50 48
10 Bergantinos 34 13 9 12 44:37 48
11 Atletico Astorga 34 12 9 13 41:43 45
12 Marino De Luanco 34 11 12 11 31:26 45
13 Valladolid Promesas 34 12 9 13 59:58 45
14 Langreo 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
15 Sarriana 34 11 7 16 42:42 40
16 Burgos CF B 34 8 12 14 38:55 36
17 Lealtad 34 7 7 20 31:54 28
18 UD Samano 34 3 6 25 23:87 15
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)