Sport Picks

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Bergantinos vs Leioa

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion
Bergantinos Logo

Bergantinos

5 - 0
FT
Leioa Logo

Leioa

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Ankudinov D.
(Penalty)
49' Event
Saiz K.
57' Event
Saiz K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-0. The second leg ended 5-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Bergantinos
35%
Draws
19%
Leioa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bergantinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leioa come out ahead of Bergantinos on wins alone.
  • Bergantinos are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Leioa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bergantinos, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bergantinos Clean Sheet 20%
Leioa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergantinos Leioa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.87
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Copa Federacion
Bergantinos vs Leioa
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bergantinos Compare

Top Goalscorer Saiz K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Balsa J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Leioa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.79
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergantinos 85 / 100
Leioa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergantinos Leioa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bergantinos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Bergantinos's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Leioa conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Bergantinos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bergantinos VS Leioa
1.57 Goals Scored 0.88
0.86 Goals Conceded 2.13
57% Over 1.5 50%
57% Over 2.5 25%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergantinos

(Home)
20 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 3
Bergantinos
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Bergantinos
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0
Amorebieta
09 Sept
Bergantinos
5 : 0
Leioa
06 Sept
Gernika Club
2 : 2
Bergantinos
Page 1 of 6

Leioa

(Away)
20 Sept
Real Union B
3 : 3
Leioa
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1
Pasaia
09 Sept
Bergantinos
5 : 0
Leioa
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Leioa
29 Aug
San Ignacio
3 : 3
Leioa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Comillas CF 3
L Hospitalet 2
CF Badalona 2
Sestao 3
AD San Juan 0
Terrassa 1
Binefar 1
Porreres 0
Santa Marta Tormes 2
Vimenor 1
Bergantinos 5
Leioa 0
Compostela 1
Derio 2
Salamanca CF UDS 3
Caudal Deportivo 2
Motril 0
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 2
UD San Pedro 0
Melilla 0
Conil 1
Sporting Ceuta 0
Dos Hermanas 9
Torrent 1
Atletico Saguntino 2
CF Talavera 0
Navalcarnero 2
UD San Fernando 1
Orihuela 3
Mensajero 1
Murcia 2
1/8-finals
Comillas CF 1
Sestao 2
Terrassa 4
Binefar 0
Santa Marta Tormes 1
Bergantinos 0
Derio 3
Salamanca CF UDS 5
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 1
Conil 1
Dos Hermanas 0
Atletico Saguntino -
Navalcarnero -
Orihuela 1
Murcia 4
Quarter-finals
Sestao -
Terrassa -
Santa Marta Tormes -
Salamanca CF UDS -
Recreativo Huelva -
Conil -
TBD -
Murcia -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -