Sport Picks
Bergantinos vs Leioa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Copa Federacion 
Match Events
45'
45'
Ankudinov D.
(Penalty)
49'
49'
Saiz K.
57'
57'
Saiz K.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 5-0. The second leg ended 5-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leioa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Bergantinos come out ahead of Leioa on wins alone.
- Leioa are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Bergantinos have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Bergantinos, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Bergantinos Clean Sheet 14%
Leioa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bergantinos | Leioa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 9, 2026 Copa Federacion
Bergantinos vs Leioa
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bergantinos Compare
Top Goalscorer Saiz K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Balsa J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Leioa Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bergantinos 11 / 100
Leioa 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bergantinos Leioa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leioa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Bergantinos's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 35 recent games.
Defensive concern: Leioa conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Bergantinos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bergantinos VS Leioa
2.5 Goals Scored 2.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Bergantinos
(Home) 01 Nov
Bergantinos
1 : 1 Ourense CF
24 Oct
Eibar B
3 : 2 Bergantinos
18 Oct
Bergantinos
3 : 0 Real Oviedo B
11 Oct
Arosa SC
2 : 2 Bergantinos
04 Oct
Bergantinos
3 : 1 Coruxo FC
Page 1 of 7
01 Nov
Bergantinos
1 : 1 Ourense CF
18 Oct
Bergantinos
3 : 0 Real Oviedo B
04 Oct
Bergantinos
3 : 1 Coruxo FC
27 Sept
Bergantinos
3 : 2 Portugalete
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0 Amorebieta
Page 1 of 4
Leioa
(Away) 31 Oct
SD Erandio
2 : 3 Leioa
24 Oct
Leioa
3 : 0 Sodupe
17 Oct
Alaves C
2 : 2 Leioa
10 Oct
Leioa
4 : 0 Aurrera de Vitoria
04 Oct
Amurrio Club
0 : 5 Leioa
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
SD Erandio
2 : 3 Leioa
17 Oct
Alaves C
2 : 2 Leioa
04 Oct
Amurrio Club
0 : 5 Leioa
20 Sept
Real Union B
3 : 3 Leioa
09 Sept
Bergantinos
5 : 0 Leioa
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Comillas CF 3
L Hospitalet 2
CF Badalona 2
Sestao 3
AD San Juan 0
Terrassa 1
Binefar 1
Porreres 0
Santa Marta Tormes 2
Vimenor 1
Bergantinos 5
Leioa 0
Compostela 1
Derio 2
Salamanca CF UDS 3
Caudal Deportivo 2
Motril 0
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 2
UD San Pedro 0
Melilla 0
Conil 1
Sporting Ceuta 0
Dos Hermanas 9
Torrent 1
Atletico Saguntino 2
CF Talavera 0
Navalcarnero 2
UD San Fernando 1
Orihuela 3
Mensajero 1
Murcia 2
1/8-finals
Comillas CF 1
Sestao 2
Terrassa 4
Binefar 0
Santa Marta Tormes 1
Bergantinos 0
Derio 3
Salamanca CF UDS 5
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 1
Conil 1
Dos Hermanas 0
Atletico Saguntino 0
Navalcarnero 4
Orihuela 1
Murcia 4
Quarter-finals
Sestao 4
Terrassa 1
Santa Marta Tormes 1
Salamanca CF UDS 2
Recreativo Huelva 2
Conil 1
Navalcarnero 3
Murcia 1
Semi-finals
Sestao 3
Salamanca CF UDS 1
Recreativo Huelva 3
Navalcarnero 2
Final
Sestao -
Recreativo Huelva -
