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Bergantinos vs Marino De Luanco

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion
Wed, Sep 10, 2025
4 - 2
05:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Cerro I.
35' Event
Fuentes T.
60' Event
Rodriguez J.

AI Match Summary

Bergantinos in this Copa Federacion matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bergantinos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Bergantinos
20%
Draws
38%
Marino De Luanco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bergantinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Bergantinos have won more games recently than Marino De Luanco.
  • Bergantinos are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Bergantinos Clean Sheet 20%
Marino De Luanco Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergantinos Marino De Luanco
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 11
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Marino De Luanco
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Marino De Luanco vs Bergantinos
1:1
Sep 10, 2025 Copa Federacion
Bergantinos vs Marino De Luanco
4:2
Apr 20, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Marino De Luanco vs Bergantinos
1:1
Dec 8, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Marino De Luanco
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bergantinos Compare

Top Goalscorer Cerro I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Marino De Luanco Compare

Top Goalscorer Fuentes T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergantinos 42 / 100
Marino De Luanco 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergantinos Marino De Luanco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bergantinos scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Bergantinos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Marino De Luanco has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bergantinos VS Marino De Luanco
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
CE Atletic Lleida1
Tudelano0
Formentera1
SD Ibiza0
Terrassa4
Atletico Monzon0
SD Ejea2
UE Tona0
Bergantinos4
Marino De Luanco2
Estradense2
Covadonga1
CD Laredo1
Ourense CF5
Zamora4
Amorebieta1
Varea2
Moralo0
San Sebastian Reyes1
Alfaro0
Laguna Tenerife1
Toledo2
Jaraiz2
CD Coria3
Deportiva Minera3
Melilla0
Molinense2
Xerez CD0
Ceuta 6 de Junio2
Orihuela5
Huetor Tajar2
Bollullos1
1/8-finals
CE Atletic Lleida6
Formentera1
Terrassa0
SD Ejea1
Bergantinos2
Estradense1
Ourense CF2
Zamora1
Varea1
San Sebastian Reyes2
Toledo1
CD Coria0
Deportiva Minera3
Molinense0
Orihuela3
Huetor Tajar0
Quarter-finals
CE Atletic Lleida2
SD Ejea1
Bergantinos0
Ourense CF2
San Sebastian Reyes0
Toledo1
Deportiva Minera0
Orihuela1
Semi-finals
CE Atletic Lleida3
Ourense CF4
Toledo2
Orihuela4
Final
Ourense CF3
Orihuela0