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Bergantinos vs Ourense CF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Pastor I.
66' Event
Alonso M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bergantinos
35%
Draws
25%
Ourense CF
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bergantinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bergantinos lately — more wins on the board than Ourense CF.
  • Win probability leans Bergantinos's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Bergantinos Clean Sheet 68%
Ourense CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergantinos Ourense CF
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.66 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Ourense CF
1:1
Oct 1, 2025 Copa Federacion
Bergantinos vs Ourense CF
0:2
Aug 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Ourense CF vs Bergantinos
1:0
Apr 2, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Bergantinos
1:0
Nov 19, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Ourense CF
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bergantinos Compare

Top Goalscorer Pastor I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Ourense CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonso M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergantinos 86 / 100
Ourense CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergantinos Ourense CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bergantinos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bergantinos scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Ourense CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Bergantinos remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Bergantinos VS Ourense CF
2.5 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergantinos

(Home)
01 Nov
Bergantinos
1 : 1
Ourense CF
24 Oct
Eibar B
3 : 2
Bergantinos
18 Oct
Bergantinos
3 : 0
Real Oviedo B
11 Oct
Arosa SC
2 : 2
Bergantinos
04 Oct
Bergantinos
3 : 1
Coruxo FC
Page 1 of 6

Ourense CF

(Away)
01 Nov
Bergantinos
1 : 1
Ourense CF
25 Oct
Ourense CF
3 : 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
17 Oct
Ourense CF
0 : 1
Coruxo FC
10 Oct
Atletico Astorga
4 : 0
Ourense CF
04 Oct
Ourense CF
0 : 0
Arosa SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sestao 9 7 1 1 11:3 22
2 Alaves B 9 6 2 1 23:12 20
3 Bergantinos 9 5 3 1 20:11 18
4 Eibar B 9 5 2 2 15:8 17
5 Amorebieta 9 5 1 3 11:8 16
6 Compostela 9 4 2 3 11:8 14
7 Ourense CF 9 4 2 3 9:9 14
8 Real Oviedo B 9 4 2 3 12:15 14
9 Portugalete 9 3 4 2 12:12 13
10 Gernika Club 9 2 5 2 15:9 11
11 Basconia 9 2 5 2 13:14 11
12 Coruxo FC 9 2 2 5 8:12 8
13 Arosa SC 9 1 5 3 15:20 8
14 Rayo Cantabria 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
15 Marino De Luanco 9 2 2 5 8:13 8
16 Atletico Astorga 9 2 1 6 11:14 7
17 Llanera 9 2 1 6 12:21 7
18 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 9 1 2 6 7:19 5
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)