Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bergdalens IK vs Savedalen

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Naser I.
(Penalty)
74' Event
Krasnici A.
77' Event
Nilsson E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2024 game between Bergdalens IK and Savedalen finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Savedalen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bergdalens IK
15%
Draws
85%
Savedalen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Savedalen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bergdalens IK haven't matched Savedalen's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Savedalen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bergdalens IK Clean Sheet 10%
Savedalen Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergdalens IK Savedalen
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 4 6
Draws 3 9
Losses 24 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.24
Goals Conceded 3.61 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Bergdalens IK vs Savedalen
1:2
Jun 20, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Savedalen vs Bergdalens IK
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bergdalens IK Compare

Top Goalscorer Krasnici A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Savedalen Compare

Top Goalscorer Nilsson E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergdalens IK 10 / 100
Savedalen 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergdalens IK Savedalen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Savedalen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Savedalen conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Bergdalens IK scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Savedalen lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bergdalens IK VS Savedalen
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
4.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergdalens IK

(Home)
19 Oct
Bergdalens IK
0 : 5
BK Astrio
12 Oct
Varbergs GIF
1 : 0
Bergdalens IK
05 Oct
Bergdalens IK
2 : 3
Frolunda
28 Sept
Onsala
8 : 2
Bergdalens IK
21 Sept
Bergdalens IK
0 : 1
Boljan
Page 1 of 7

Savedalen

(Away)
02 Jun
Savedalen
2 : 3
Boljan
01 Nov
Kumla
2 : 0
Savedalen
25 Oct
Savedalen
1 : 0
Kumla
02 Nov
Savedalen
1 : 4
Astorps
26 Oct
Astorps
3 : 1
Savedalen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 26 16 7 3 44:27 55
2 BK Astrio 26 17 3 6 63:30 54
3 Qviding 26 16 4 6 68:43 52
4 Varbergs GIF 26 15 5 6 49:30 50
5 Landvetter 26 13 6 7 56:44 45
6 Frolunda 26 9 9 8 58:50 36
7 Tord 26 10 6 10 45:39 36
8 Laholms 26 9 4 13 46:52 31
9 Lindome 26 8 5 13 49:50 29
10 Bergdalens IK 26 8 4 14 53:70 28
11 Jonsereds 26 8 4 14 36:54 28
12 Savedalen 26 6 9 11 33:57 27
13 Ockero IF 26 5 6 15 36:57 21
14 Hittarp 26 3 6 17 21:54 15
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2024 (Relegation)