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Bergerac vs Bourges

France France

National 2 - Group D 2020/2021
Sat, May 29, 2021
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bergerac host Bourges in the National 2 - Group D 2020/2021. This one's hard to separate. Bergerac have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Bourges's 1.13 scored and 0.75 conceded. Past meetings favor Bergerac slightly — 1-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 29, 2021, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.17 vs 1.13, favoring Bourges. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Bergerac
30%
Draws
37%
Bourges
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bourges

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bergerac lately — more wins on the board than Bourges.
  • Model gives Bourges a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Bergerac Clean Sheet 20%
Bourges Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergerac Bourges
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 9 3
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 2
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2021 National 2 - Group D
Bergerac vs Bourges
0:0
Apr 24, 2021 National 2 - Group D
Bourges vs Bergerac
0:0
Mar 21, 2020 National 1 - Group C
Bergerac vs Bourges
0:0
Oct 19, 2019 National 1 - Group C
Bourges vs Bergerac
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergerac 20 / 100
Bourges 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergerac Bourges

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bourges Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bergerac scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Bourges let in goals in 63% of their last 8 matches.

Solid form: Bergerac remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 0.25 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Bergerac VS Bourges
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergerac

(Home)
17 May
Bergerac
1 : 0
Le Puy-en-Velay
10 May
Rumilly Vallieres
2 : 2
Bergerac
03 May
Bergerac
1 : 0
Andrezieux
25 Apr
Cannes
7 : 0
Bergerac
19 Apr
Bergerac
1 : 2
Toulon
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Bourges

(Away)
01 Aug
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Bourges
21 Jul
Bourges
1 : 1
Orleans
10 Oct
Trelissac
1 : 1
Bourges
26 Sept
Bourges
0 : 2
Moulins-Yzeure
19 Sept
Canet Roussillon
0 : 1
Bourges
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