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Bergerac vs Tarbes Prediction & H2H Stats

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National 2 - Group A 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bergerac in this National 2 - Group A 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bergerac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Bergerac
30%
Draws
37%
Tarbes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tarbes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Bergerac have won more games recently than Tarbes.
  • Model gives Tarbes a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Bergerac Clean Sheet 20%
Tarbes Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergerac Tarbes
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.23 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2018 National 1 - Group A
Bergerac vs Tarbes
4:0
Sep 16, 2017 National 1 - Group A
Tarbes vs Bergerac
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergerac 20 / 100
Tarbes 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergerac Tarbes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tarbes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bergerac scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Tarbes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Bergerac has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bergerac VS Tarbes
1.38 Goals Scored 0.43
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.71
88% Over 1.5 29%
50% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergerac

(Home)
17 May
Bergerac
1 : 0
Le Puy-en-Velay
10 May
Rumilly Vallieres
2 : 2
Bergerac
03 May
Bergerac
1 : 0
Andrezieux
25 Apr
Cannes
7 : 0
Bergerac
19 Apr
Bergerac
1 : 2
Toulon
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Tarbes

(Away)
19 Sept
Les Herbiers
0 : 1
Tarbes
12 Sept
Tarbes
1 : 2
Angouleme CFC
05 Sept
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
0 : 0
Tarbes
29 Aug
Tarbes
1 : 0
Lorient II
22 Aug
Saumur Olympique
0 : 0
Tarbes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marignane GCB 30 17 6 7 39:25 57
2 Toulon 30 17 6 7 41:25 57
3 Colomiers 30 14 9 7 43:27 51
4 Bergerac 30 13 10 7 43:28 49
5 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 14 7 9 41:32 49
6 Martigues 30 13 8 9 42:33 47
7 Sete 30 11 13 6 42:25 46
8 Monaco II 30 11 10 9 44:33 43
9 RC Grasse 30 9 12 9 32:31 39
10 Hyeres 30 8 12 10 35:32 36
11 Nice II 30 10 5 15 31:48 35
12 Stade Montois 30 8 8 14 32:46 32
13 Stade Bordelais 30 8 9 13 28:39 31
14 Marseille II 30 6 10 14 31:46 28
15 Tarbes 30 7 5 18 32:60 26
16 Pezenas 30 5 8 17 19:45 21
Promotion - National 2018/2019 (Main)