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Bergerac vs Tarbes

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National 2 - Group A 2017/2018
Bergerac Logo

Bergerac

4 - 0
FT
Tarbes Logo

Tarbes

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bergerac in this National 2 - Group A 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bergerac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Bergerac
15%
Draws
39%
Tarbes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bergerac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Bergerac have won more games recently than Tarbes.
  • Model gives Bergerac a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Bergerac Clean Sheet 20%
Tarbes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergerac Tarbes
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 9 4
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.24 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2018 National 1 - Group A
Bergerac vs Tarbes
4:0
Sep 16, 2017 National 1 - Group A
Tarbes vs Bergerac
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergerac 49 / 100
Tarbes 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergerac Tarbes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tarbes has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Bergerac's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 41 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Bergerac has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bergerac VS Tarbes
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergerac

(Home)
17 May
Bergerac
1 : 0
Le Puy-en-Velay
10 May
Rumilly Vallieres
2 : 2
Bergerac
03 May
Bergerac
1 : 0
Andrezieux
25 Apr
Cannes
7 : 0
Bergerac
19 Apr
Bergerac
1 : 2
Toulon
Page 1 of 9

Tarbes

(Away)
17 Jul
Pau
3 : 0
Tarbes
19 May
Tarbes
0 : 3
Toulon
12 May
Marseille II
1 : 2
Tarbes
28 Apr
Tarbes
1 : 0
RC Grasse
21 Apr
Stade Bordelais
3 : 1
Tarbes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marignane GCB 30 17 6 7 39:25 57
2 Toulon 30 17 6 7 41:25 57
3 Colomiers 30 14 9 7 43:27 51
4 Bergerac 30 13 10 7 43:28 49
5 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 14 7 9 41:32 49
6 Martigues 30 13 8 9 42:33 47
7 Sete 30 11 13 6 42:25 46
8 Monaco II 30 11 10 9 44:33 43
9 RC Grasse 30 9 12 9 32:31 39
10 Hyeres 30 8 12 10 35:32 36
11 Nice II 30 10 5 15 31:48 35
12 Stade Montois 30 8 8 14 32:46 32
13 Stade Bordelais 30 8 9 13 28:39 31
14 Marseille II 30 6 10 14 31:46 28
15 Tarbes 30 7 5 18 32:60 26
16 Pezenas 30 5 8 17 19:45 21
Promotion - National 2018/2019 (Main)