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Bergisch Gladbach vs 1. FC Koln

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Maina L.
15' Event
Maina L.
18' Event
Tigges S.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Bergisch Gladbach and 1. FC Koln finished 1-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward 1. FC Koln.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bergisch Gladbach
6%
Draws
4%
1. FC Koln
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bergisch Gladbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bergisch Gladbach come out ahead of 1. FC Koln on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bergisch Gladbach's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors 1. FC Koln here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 66%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Bergisch Gladbach Clean Sheet 18%
1. FC Koln Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergisch Gladbach 1. FC Koln
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 19 5
Draws 6 9
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 3.38 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Bergisch Gladbach vs 1. FC Koln
1:7
Sep 6, 2023 Club Friendly
Bergisch Gladbach vs 1. FC Koln
0:6
Mar 23, 2017 Club Friendly
Bergisch Gladbach vs 1. FC Koln
1:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bergisch Gladbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Heider C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.6
Avg xA / game 1.69

1. FC Koln Compare

Top Goalscorer Maina L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tigges S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergisch Gladbach 85 / 100
1. FC Koln 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergisch Gladbach 1. FC Koln

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bergisch Gladbach scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

1. FC Koln has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 7.33 goals per match.

Bergisch Gladbach went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bergisch Gladbach VS 1. FC Koln
3.38 Goals Scored 1.29
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 86%
88% Over 2.5 71%
75% Over 3.5 57%