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Bergnasets AIK vs Boden City

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Nunes S.
25' Event
Own Goal
42' Event
Johnson P. I.

AI Match Summary

Bergnasets AIK in this Division 2 - Norrland 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bergnasets AIK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Bergnasets AIK
20%
Draws
51%
Boden City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Boden City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bergnasets AIK have won more games recently than Boden City.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Bergnasets AIK Clean Sheet 10%
Boden City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergnasets AIK Boden City
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 9 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.92
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden City vs Bergnasets AIK
3:2
Aug 2, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Bergnasets AIK vs Boden City
4:2
Jun 9, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Bergnasets AIK vs Boden City
0:0
May 3, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden City vs Bergnasets AIK
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bergnasets AIK Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnson P. I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mahoto E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Boden City Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunes S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lind P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergnasets AIK 30 / 100
Boden City 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergnasets AIK Boden City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boden City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boden City let in goals in 88% of their last 24 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Bergnasets AIK scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Bergnasets AIK has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bergnasets AIK VS Boden City
2 Goals Scored 1.25
2.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergnasets AIK

(Home)
15 Oct
Bergnasets AIK
3 : 0
Boden
11 Oct
Taftea IK
3 : 0
Bergnasets AIK
04 Oct
Bergnasets AIK
3 : 4
Friska Viljor
27 Sept
Kiruna
4 : 4
Bergnasets AIK
20 Sept
Bergnasets AIK
1 : 2
Lucksta IF
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Boden City

(Away)
18 Oct
Boden
1 : 3
Boden City
15 Oct
Boden City
0 : 1
Taftea IK
11 Oct
Friska Viljor
2 : 3
Boden City
05 Oct
Boden City
0 : 0
Kiruna
27 Sept
Lucksta IF
3 : 1
Boden City
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friska Viljor 12 8 0 4 33:27 28
2 Boden 12 6 1 5 21:22 23
3 Taftea IK 12 7 1 4 22:15 22
4 Lucksta IF 12 6 0 6 23:23 20
5 Kiruna 12 4 3 5 19:19 17
6 Bergnasets AIK 12 3 2 7 24:30 17
7 Boden City 12 4 1 7 18:24 13
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation)