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Bergnasets AIK vs Kiruna

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2025
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Match Events

77' Event
Berg L.
85' Event
Berg L.
88' Event
Hereka M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland 2025 game between Bergnasets AIK and Kiruna finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kiruna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bergnasets AIK
30%
Draws
39%
Kiruna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kiruna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Kiruna haven't matched Bergnasets AIK's recent run of results.
  • Kiruna are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Bergnasets AIK Clean Sheet 10%
Kiruna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergnasets AIK Kiruna
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 11
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Kiruna vs Bergnasets AIK
4:4
Aug 23, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Bergnasets AIK vs Kiruna
0:3
May 24, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Kiruna vs Bergnasets AIK
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Bergnasets AIK vs Kiruna
1:1
Aug 3, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Bergnasets AIK vs Kiruna
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bergnasets AIK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Kiruna Compare

Top Goalscorer Berg L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hereka M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergnasets AIK 26 / 100
Kiruna 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergnasets AIK Kiruna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kiruna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Bergnasets AIK scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Kiruna has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Bergnasets AIK has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bergnasets AIK VS Kiruna
2 Goals Scored 1.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergnasets AIK

(Home)
15 Oct
Bergnasets AIK
3 : 0
Boden
11 Oct
Taftea IK
3 : 0
Bergnasets AIK
04 Oct
Bergnasets AIK
3 : 4
Friska Viljor
27 Sept
Kiruna
4 : 4
Bergnasets AIK
20 Sept
Bergnasets AIK
1 : 2
Lucksta IF
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Kiruna

(Away)
01 Nov
Kiruna
1 : 1
IFK Umea
25 Oct
IFK Umea
2 : 1
Kiruna
18 Oct
Friska Viljor
0 : 4
Kiruna
11 Oct
Kiruna
1 : 2
Lucksta IF
05 Oct
Boden City
0 : 0
Kiruna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friska Viljor 12 8 0 4 33:27 28
2 Boden 12 6 1 5 21:22 23
3 Taftea IK 12 7 1 4 22:15 22
4 Lucksta IF 12 6 0 6 23:23 20
5 Kiruna 12 4 3 5 19:19 17
6 Bergnasets AIK 12 3 2 7 24:30 17
7 Boden City 12 4 1 7 18:24 13
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation)