Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Backstrom H.
17'
17'
Own Goal
28'
28'
Toro H.
AI Match Summary
The Division 2 - Norrland 2025 game between Bergnasets AIK and Skelleftea finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Skelleftea.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Skelleftea
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
26%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Skelleftea come out ahead of Bergnasets AIK on wins alone.
- Model gives Bergnasets AIK a 26% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Skelleftea have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Bergnasets AIK Clean Sheet 13%
Skelleftea Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bergnasets AIK | Skelleftea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 15 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.17 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 26, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Bergnasets AIK vs Skelleftea
1:4
May 17, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs Bergnasets AIK
4:1
Aug 9, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs Bergnasets AIK
3:2
Apr 6, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Bergnasets AIK vs Skelleftea
3:2
Sep 23, 2023 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs Bergnasets AIK
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bergnasets AIK Compare
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
Skelleftea Compare
Top Goalscorer Backstrom H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Toro H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bergnasets AIK 39 / 100
Skelleftea 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bergnasets AIK Skelleftea
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bergnasets AIK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.
Bergnasets AIK's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Skelleftea let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Bergnasets AIK has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Skelleftea
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Bergnasets AIK
(Home) 15 Oct
Bergnasets AIK
3 : 0 Boden
11 Oct
Taftea IK
3 : 0 Bergnasets AIK
04 Oct
Bergnasets AIK
3 : 4 Friska Viljor
27 Sept
Kiruna
4 : 4 Bergnasets AIK
20 Sept
Bergnasets AIK
1 : 2 Lucksta IF
Page 1 of 6
15 Oct
Bergnasets AIK
3 : 0 Boden
04 Oct
Bergnasets AIK
3 : 4 Friska Viljor
20 Sept
Bergnasets AIK
1 : 2 Lucksta IF
30 Aug
Bergnasets AIK
2 : 0 Taftea IK
23 Aug
Bergnasets AIK
0 : 3 Kiruna
Page 1 of 3
Skelleftea
(Away) 12 Sept
IFK Ostersund
5 : 0 Skelleftea
05 Sept
Skelleftea
2 : 2 IFK Ostersund
29 Aug
Skelleftea
2 : 2 Boden
22 Aug
Gottne IF
2 : 2 Skelleftea
15 Aug
Skelleftea
3 : 1 IFK Lulea
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
IFK Ostersund
5 : 0 Skelleftea
22 Aug
Gottne IF
2 : 2 Skelleftea
12 Aug
Taftea IK
0 : 2 Skelleftea
01 Aug
Kubikenborgs
1 : 2 Skelleftea
27 Jun
IFK Lulea
0 : 1 Skelleftea
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pitea | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 32:12 | 29 |
| 2 | Skelleftea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24:16 | 23 |
| 3 | IFK Lulea | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21:11 | 22 |
| 4 | Bergnasets AIK | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:20 | 13 |
| 5 | Boden | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 6 | Kiruna | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13:23 | 8 |
| 7 | Boden City | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12:22 | 7 |
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IFK Ostersund | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 39:18 | 28 |
| 2 | Umea FC Akademi | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 32:19 | 24 |
| 3 | Kubikenborgs | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 20:22 | 21 |
| 4 | Gottne IF | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:21 | 16 |
| 5 | Friska Viljor | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 24:25 | 15 |
| 6 | Lucksta IF | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 19:30 | 10 |
| 7 | Taftea IK | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:28 | 9 |
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)
