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Bermeo vs Amurrio Club

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019 game between Bermeo and Amurrio Club finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Amurrio Club.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Bermeo
11%
Draws
80%
Amurrio Club
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Amurrio Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Amurrio Club come out ahead of Bermeo on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Amurrio Club taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Amurrio Club here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Bermeo Clean Sheet 20%
Amurrio Club Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bermeo Amurrio Club
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 2 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs Amurrio Club
0:1
Nov 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Amurrio Club vs Bermeo
2:0
Apr 28, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Amurrio Club vs Bermeo
3:1
Dec 2, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs Amurrio Club
0:1
Mar 25, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs Amurrio Club
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bermeo 12 / 100
Amurrio Club 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bermeo Amurrio Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AMU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amurrio Club let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Bermeo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Amurrio Club's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Amurrio Club
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bermeo

(Home)
18 May
Bermeo
1 : 2
Alaves B
11 May
Real Sociedad C
4 : 0
Bermeo
04 May
Bermeo
1 : 1
Balmaseda
27 Apr
Zamudio
0 : 0
Bermeo
18 Apr
Bermeo
3 : 3
SD San Pedro
Page 1 of 6

Amurrio Club

(Away)
28 Aug
Amurrio Club
2 : 1
Zamudio
30 Apr
Barakaldo
3 : 2
Amurrio Club
23 Apr
Amurrio Club
1 : 2
Pasaia
13 Apr
Uritarra
1 : 0
Amurrio Club
09 Apr
Amurrio Club
3 : 2
San Ignacio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugalete38268465:2186
2Sestao382212474:3678
3Alaves B381812869:4466
4San Ignacio381712966:3663
5Balmaseda381712950:3663
6Basconia3816121064:5260
7Real Sociedad C3816111171:4859
8Somorrostro381415959:4357
9Sodupe3811171049:4550
10Pasaia3812131333:4649
11Santutxu FC3812121438:4848
12Lagun Onak3812121446:4648
13Beasain389191046:4046
14Santurtzi3810151333:4245
15SD Deusto3810131541:5543
16Zamudio381091942:6639
17Amurrio Club388102030:6434
18Ordizia385161740:7231
19SD San Pedro386112140:6929
20Bermeo382132324:7119
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)