Sport Picks
Bermeo vs Lagun Onak Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lagun Onak
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lagun Onak lately — more wins on the board than Bermeo.
- 45% — that's where the model lands on Lagun Onak taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Bermeo Clean Sheet 19%
Lagun Onak Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bermeo | Lagun Onak |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 19 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs Lagun Onak
1:1
Sep 1, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Bermeo
4:0
Apr 14, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Bermeo
2:2
Nov 18, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs Lagun Onak
2:2
Feb 18, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Bermeo
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bermeo 24 / 100
Lagun Onak 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bermeo Lagun Onak
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lagun Onak Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Lagun Onak has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Bermeo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Bermeo scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Lagun Onak
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bermeo
(Home) 18 May
Bermeo
1 : 2 Alaves B
11 May
Real Sociedad C
4 : 0 Bermeo
04 May
Bermeo
1 : 1 Balmaseda
27 Apr
Zamudio
0 : 0 Bermeo
18 Apr
Bermeo
3 : 3 SD San Pedro
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18 May
Bermeo
1 : 2 Alaves B
04 May
Bermeo
1 : 1 Balmaseda
18 Apr
Bermeo
3 : 3 SD San Pedro
06 Apr
Bermeo
0 : 0 Santurtzi
30 Mar
Bermeo
0 : 1 Amurrio Club
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Lagun Onak
(Away) 03 Oct
Lagun Onak
1 : 2 UD Aretxabaleta
27 Sept
Santurtzi
0 : 1 Lagun Onak
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0 San Ignacio
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0 Lagun Onak
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1 Leioa
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Santurtzi
0 : 1 Lagun Onak
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0 Lagun Onak
24 May
Derio
2 : 0 Lagun Onak
09 May
Leioa
2 : 3 Lagun Onak
26 Apr
Anorga
2 : 2 Lagun Onak
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugalete | 38 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 65:21 | 86 |
| 2 | Sestao | 38 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 74:36 | 78 |
| 3 | Alaves B | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 69:44 | 66 |
| 4 | San Ignacio | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 66:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Balmaseda | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 50:36 | 63 |
| 6 | Basconia | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 64:52 | 60 |
| 7 | Real Sociedad C | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 71:48 | 59 |
| 8 | Somorrostro | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 59:43 | 57 |
| 9 | Sodupe | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 49:45 | 50 |
| 10 | Pasaia | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 33:46 | 49 |
| 11 | Santutxu FC | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 38:48 | 48 |
| 12 | Lagun Onak | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 46:46 | 48 |
| 13 | Beasain | 38 | 9 | 19 | 10 | 46:40 | 46 |
| 14 | Santurtzi | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 33:42 | 45 |
| 15 | SD Deusto | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 41:55 | 43 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:66 | 39 |
| 17 | Amurrio Club | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 30:64 | 34 |
| 18 | Ordizia | 38 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 40:72 | 31 |
| 19 | SD San Pedro | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 40:69 | 29 |
| 20 | Bermeo | 38 | 2 | 13 | 23 | 24:71 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
