Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019

Portugalete

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bermeo play Portugalete in the Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019. Portugalete are favorites here. Recently, Bermeo averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Portugalete averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. In past meetings, Bermeo won 0, Portugalete won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 17, 2019 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Bermeo and 1.30 for Portugalete. This points to a Portugalete double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Bermeo

22%

Draws

60%

Portugalete

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Portugalete

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Portugalete has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Bermeo.
Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Portugalete.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Bermeo Clean Sheet 19%

Portugalete Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bermeo	Portugalete
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	2	21
Draws	9	5
Losses	19	5
Goals Scored	0	1.5
Goals Conceded	0	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Bermeo vs Portugalete

Possession: 44% - 42% Cards: 2 - 2

0:3

Sep 30, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Portugalete vs Bermeo

Possession: 51% - 52% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Apr 7, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Bermeo vs Portugalete

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

0:4

Nov 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Portugalete vs Bermeo

Possession: 45% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Apr 29, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Bermeo vs Portugalete

Possession: 40% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bermeo 20 / 100

Portugalete 57 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bermeo Portugalete

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bermeo scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Portugalete let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Bermeo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Portugalete lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Portugalete

0 Goals Scored 1.5

0 Goals Conceded 0.63

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugalete	38	26	8	4	65:21	86
2	Sestao	38	22	12	4	74:36	78
3	Alaves B	38	18	12	8	69:44	66
4	San Ignacio	38	17	12	9	66:36	63
5	Balmaseda	38	17	12	9	50:36	63
6	Basconia	38	16	12	10	64:52	60
7	Real Sociedad C	38	16	11	11	71:48	59
8	Somorrostro	38	14	15	9	59:43	57
9	Sodupe	38	11	17	10	49:45	50
10	Pasaia	38	12	13	13	33:46	49
11	Santutxu FC	38	12	12	14	38:48	48
12	Lagun Onak	38	12	12	14	46:46	48
13	Beasain	38	9	19	10	46:40	46
14	Santurtzi	38	10	15	13	33:42	45
15	SD Deusto	38	10	13	15	41:55	43
16	Zamudio	38	10	9	19	42:66	39
17	Amurrio Club	38	8	10	20	30:64	34
18	Ordizia	38	5	16	17	40:72	31
19	SD San Pedro	38	6	11	21	40:69	29
20	Bermeo	38	2	13	23	24:71	19