Sport Picks
Match Events
23'
23'
Mitchell G.
30'
30'
Marshall E.
37'
37'
Bredas M.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
Bermuda in this CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bermuda.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dominica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Bermuda lately — more wins on the board than Dominica.
- Model gives Dominica a 58% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Bermuda Clean Sheet 10%
Dominica Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bermuda | Dominica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.55 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 15, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Bermuda vs Dominica
3:2
Oct 12, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Dominica vs Bermuda
1:6
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bermuda Compare
Top Goalscorer Hall K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bean J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Dominica Compare
Top Goalscorer Jules T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bermuda 14 / 100
Dominica 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bermuda Dominica
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dominica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Bermuda scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Dominica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.
Bermuda went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bermuda VS Dominica
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Bermuda
(Home) 29 Sept
Saint Lucia
5 : 2 Bermuda
25 Sept
Bermuda
1 : 2 Guadeloupe
06 Jun
Cape Verde
3 : 0 Bermuda
25 Mar
D.R. Congo
2 : 0 Bermuda
19 Nov
Trinidad & Tobago
2 : 2 Bermuda
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25 Sept
Bermuda
1 : 2 Guadeloupe
14 Nov
Bermuda
0 : 7 Curacao
10 Oct
Bermuda
0 : 3 Trinidad & Tobago
05 Sept
Bermuda
0 : 4 Jamaica
04 Jun
Bermuda
5 : 0 Cayman Islands
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Dominica
(Away) 28 Sept
Dominica
0 : 2 Puerto Rico
25 Sept
Cayman Islands
0 : 0 Dominica
21 Sept
Dominica
1 : 0 Anguilla
30 Mar
Dominica
0 : 0 Sint Maarten
27 Mar
Guyana
2 : 0 Dominica
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Cayman Islands
0 : 0 Dominica
27 Mar
Guyana
2 : 0 Dominica
10 Jun
Dominican Republic
5 : 0 Dominica
19 Nov
Antigua and Barbuda
0 : 0 Dominica
15 Oct
Bermuda
3 : 2 Dominica
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Salvador | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 2 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Bonaire | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:10 | 3 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curacao | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:15 | 9 |
| 3 | Grenada | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Saint Martin | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:13 | 6 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haiti | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 29:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Puerto Rico | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 3 | Sint Maarten | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:18 | 9 |
| 4 | Aruba | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:17 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dominican Republic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 27:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Bermuda | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15:13 | 12 |
| 3 | Dominica | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:18 | 4 |
| 4 | Antigua and Barbuda | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:15 | 1 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
