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Bermuda vs Guadeloupe

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Daren Sammy Cricket Ground, Gros Islet
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Davillars T.
18' Event
Russell T.
(Penalty)
26'
Simmons L.

AI Match Summary

Guadeloupe in this CONCACAF Nations League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guadeloupe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Bermuda
15%
Draws
73%
Guadeloupe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadeloupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guadeloupe lately — more wins on the board than Bermuda.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Bermuda Clean Sheet 10%
Guadeloupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bermuda Guadeloupe
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 10 19
Draws 5 2
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.53 2.09
Goals Conceded 2.38 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 2.07
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Bermuda vs Guadeloupe
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bermuda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Guadeloupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Vulgaire A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boisne D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.15

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bermuda 30 / 100
Guadeloupe 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bermuda Guadeloupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bermuda's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Guadeloupe registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Guadeloupe conceded in 53% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bermuda VS Guadeloupe
1.13 Goals Scored 1.14
3 Goals Conceded 1.57
100% Over 1.5 57%
88% Over 2.5 57%
63% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Bermuda

(Home)
25 Sept
Bermuda
1 : 2
Guadeloupe
06 Jun
Cape Verde
3 : 0
Bermuda
25 Mar
D.R. Congo
2 : 0
Bermuda
19 Nov
Trinidad & Tobago
2 : 2
Bermuda
14 Nov
Bermuda
0 : 7
Curacao
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Guadeloupe

(Away)
25 Sept
Bermuda
1 : 2
Guadeloupe
24 Jun
Guadeloupe
2 : 3
Guatemala
20 Jun
Jamaica
2 : 1
Guadeloupe
16 Jun
Panama
5 : 2
Guadeloupe
26 Mar
Nicaragua
0 : 1
Guadeloupe
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