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Bermuda vs Saint Lucia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bermuda host Saint Lucia in the CONCACAF Nations League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Saint Lucia have shipped 1.74 goals a game lately, while Bermuda have conceded 2.52 and scored 1.52. Head-to-head, Bermuda have won 0 to Saint Lucia's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 29, 2026, ending 5:2. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 2.44) point toward Saint Lucia. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bermuda
15%
Draws
85%
Saint Lucia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint Lucia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bermuda haven't matched Saint Lucia's recent run of results.
  • Saint Lucia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bermuda Clean Sheet 10%
Saint Lucia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bermuda Saint Lucia
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 10 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.42
Goals Conceded 2.52 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Lucia vs Bermuda
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bermuda 10 / 100
Saint Lucia 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bermuda Saint Lucia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint Lucia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Bermuda found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

Saint Lucia has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Saint Lucia lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bermuda VS Saint Lucia
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
3.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bermuda

(Home)
06 Oct
Bermuda
1 : 2
Barbados
03 Oct
Barbados
4 : 1
Bermuda
29 Sept
Saint Lucia
5 : 2
Bermuda
25 Sept
Bermuda
1 : 2
Guadeloupe
06 Jun
Cape Verde
3 : 0
Bermuda
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Saint Lucia

(Away)
05 Oct
Guadeloupe
0 : 1
Saint Lucia
02 Oct
Saint Lucia
3 : 0
Guadeloupe
29 Sept
Saint Lucia
5 : 2
Bermuda
26 Sept
Barbados
2 : 0
Saint Lucia
27 Mar
Azerbaijan
6 : 1
Saint Lucia
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