Sport Picks

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Bernolakovo vs Modra

Slovakia Slovakia

4. liga - Bratislava 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 4. liga - Bratislava 2025/2026 game between Bernolakovo and Modra finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bernolakovo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Bernolakovo
15%
Draws
39%
Modra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bernolakovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Modra haven't matched Bernolakovo's recent run of results.
  • Bernolakovo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular 4. liga - Bratislava 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bernolakovo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Bernolakovo Clean Sheet 16%
Modra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bernolakovo Modra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.8 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 4. liga - Bratislava
Modra vs Bernolakovo
1:3
Oct 25, 2025 4. liga - Bratislava
Bernolakovo vs Modra
2:0
Jun 1, 2025 4. liga - Bratislava
Bernolakovo vs Modra
4:1
Oct 26, 2024 4. liga - Bratislava
Modra vs Bernolakovo
1:0
Mar 23, 2024 4. liga - Bratislava
Modra vs Bernolakovo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bernolakovo 39 / 100
Modra 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bernolakovo Modra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bernolakovo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Modra has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Bernolakovo found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Bernolakovo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bernolakovo VS Modra
2.38 Goals Scored 1.71
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Bernolakovo

(Home)
12 Sept
Bernolakovo
0 : 0
Rusovce
05 Sept
Lokomotiva Nova Ves
0 : 4
Bernolakovo
29 Aug
Bernolakovo
0 : 1
Rovinka
22 Aug
FKM Karlova Ves Bratislava
0 : 2
Bernolakovo
19 Aug
Bernolakovo
0 : 3
Raca
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Modra

(Away)
13 Jun
Tomasov
1 : 0
Modra
06 Jun
Modra
3 : 2
Nova Dedinka
31 May
Dunajska Luzna
4 : 1
Modra
23 May
Modra
1 : 3
Bernolakovo
17 May
Rusovce
1 : 4
Modra
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