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Beroe II vs Vereya

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Beroe II in this Third League - South-East 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Beroe II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Beroe II
39%
Draws
31%
Vereya
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Beroe II lately — more wins on the board than Vereya.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Beroe II Clean Sheet 10%
Vereya Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beroe II Vereya
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 2
Draws 2 0
Losses 25 28
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 2.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2023 Third League - South-East
Beroe II vs Vereya
3:0
Oct 8, 2022 Third League - South-East
Vereya vs Beroe II
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beroe II 29 / 100
Vereya 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beroe II Vereya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vereya conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Vereya lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Beroe II's goal record stands at 31% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Beroe II VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nesebar38265784:3283
2Chernomorets 191938248682:2680
3Gigant Saedinenie38239669:2878
4Zagorets382210664:1976
5OFC Haskovo38209968:3669
6Rozova Dolina382081066:2968
7Spartak Plovdiv381981173:4365
8Asenovets381971269:4164
9Lok. Plovdiv II382041457:3364
10Yambol 1915381691357:4857
11Rodopa Smolyan381671551:4855
12Dimitrovgrad381641852:5452
13Sokol Markovo381532054:5848
14Levski Karlovo381262045:6942
15Karnobat381181937:5741
16Beroe II381142345:7437
17Atletik Kuklen381132437:8336
18Sliven381062258:9336
19Borislav Parvomay38562734:9221
20Vereya38203624:1636