Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Beroe vs Septemvri Sofia

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Varela F.
46'
Sub
Varela F. In: Alarcon F.
Out: Varela F.
57'
Borgnino M.

AI Match Summary

The efbet League 2025/2026 game between Beroe and Septemvri Sofia finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Septemvri Sofia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Beroe
22%
Draws
18%
Septemvri Sofia
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Beroe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Beroe have managed 1.25 goals a game lately — Septemvri Sofia are scoring more at 1.75.
  • Win probability leans Beroe's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular efbet League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Beroe Clean Sheet 68%
Septemvri Sofia Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beroe Septemvri Sofia
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 efbet League
Beroe vs Septemvri Sofia
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 efbet League
Beroe vs Septemvri Sofia
0:0
Aug 11, 2025 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs Beroe
2:3
Nov 24, 2024 efbet League
Beroe vs Septemvri Sofia
2:0
Jul 22, 2024 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs Beroe
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beroe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Septemvri Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozornwafor V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beroe 68 / 100
Septemvri Sofia 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beroe Septemvri Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Septemvri Sofia conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Beroe has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Septemvri Sofia has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Beroe VS Septemvri Sofia
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Beroe

(Home)
24 Jul
Beroe
2 : 1
Hebar
18 Jul
Beroe
0 : 0
Zagorets
15 Jul
Beroe
1 : 2
Maritsa Milevo
12 Jul
Botev Plovdiv
4 : 0
Beroe
08 Jul
Beroe
6 : 0
Levski Karlovo
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Septemvri Sofia

(Away)
26 Jul
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
18 Jul
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 1
Arda
10 Jul
Ludogorets
1 : 0
Septemvri Sofia
07 Jul
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 1
Hebar
04 Jul
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3
Slavia Sofia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
9Botev Vratsa3713141036:3253
10Lok. Sofia3711141251:4847
11Slavia Sofia3712101542:4446
12Spartak Varna378131635:5737
13Septemvri Sofia37991932:6436
14Beroe377131728:5234
15Dobrudzha37872228:5231
16Montana374112221:5523
Relegation - efbet League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Main)