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Beroe vs Slavia Sofia

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Pineda J.
Assist: Sonha T.
19'
Dosso M.
51' Event
Ferrer I.

AI Match Summary

Beroe in this efbet League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Beroe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Beroe
30%
Draws
47%
Slavia Sofia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Slavia Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Slavia Sofia have won more games recently than Beroe.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Slavia Sofia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Beroe Clean Sheet 12%
Slavia Sofia Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beroe Slavia Sofia
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 efbet League
Beroe vs Slavia Sofia
3:0
Mar 3, 2026 efbet League
Beroe vs Slavia Sofia
0:3
Sep 21, 2025 efbet League
Slavia Sofia vs Beroe
0:0
Mar 14, 2025 efbet League
Slavia Sofia vs Beroe
2:1
Sep 27, 2024 efbet League
Beroe vs Slavia Sofia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beroe Compare

Top Goalscorer Pineda J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferrer I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Slavia Sofia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beroe 27 / 100
Slavia Sofia 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beroe Slavia Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SLA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Slavia Sofia conceded in 77% of 26 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Beroe's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Solid form: Beroe remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Beroe VS Slavia Sofia
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Beroe

(Home)
01 Aug
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 0
Beroe
24 Jul
Beroe
2 : 1
Hebar
18 Jul
Beroe
0 : 0
Zagorets
15 Jul
Beroe
1 : 2
Maritsa Milevo
12 Jul
Botev Plovdiv
4 : 0
Beroe
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Slavia Sofia

(Away)
31 Jul
Slavia Sofia
1 : 1
Lok. Sofia
24 Jul
Arda
1 : 0
Slavia Sofia
20 Jul
Slavia Sofia
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia
11 Jul
Slavia Sofia
7 : 2
Montana
08 Jul
Slavia Sofia
3 : 2
CSM Slatina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
9 Botev Vratsa 37 13 14 10 36:32 53
10 Lok. Sofia 37 11 14 12 51:48 47
11 Slavia Sofia 37 12 10 15 42:44 46
12 Spartak Varna 37 8 13 16 35:57 37
13 Septemvri Sofia 37 9 9 19 32:64 36
14 Beroe 37 7 13 17 28:52 34
15 Dobrudzha 37 8 7 22 28:52 31
16 Montana 37 4 11 22 21:55 23
Relegation - efbet League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Main)