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Beroe vs Svoge

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora
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Match Events

24' Event
'
55'

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between Beroe and Svoge finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Beroe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Beroe
35%
Draws
16%
Svoge
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Beroe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Svoge haven't matched Beroe's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Beroe taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Beroe have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Beroe Clean Sheet 68%
Svoge Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beroe Svoge
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.04 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Vtora liga
Beroe vs Svoge
1:0
Jun 9, 2023 efbet League
Beroe vs Svoge
1:0
Mar 28, 2010 efbet League
Svoge vs Beroe
1:2
Sep 19, 2009 efbet League
Beroe vs Svoge
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beroe 86 / 100
Svoge 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beroe Svoge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beroe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Svoge's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Beroe remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Svoge registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Beroe VS Svoge
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Beroe

(Home)
06 Sept
Dobrudzha
2 : 2
Beroe
03 Sept
Beroe
0 : 0
Montana
29 Aug
Etar
2 : 2
Beroe
25 Aug
Beroe
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
14 Aug
Fratria
2 : 0
Beroe
Page 1 of 6

Svoge

(Away)
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0
Gorna
02 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 1
Svoge
29 Aug
Svoge
0 : 0
Marek
23 Aug
Yantra Gabrovo
1 : 0
Svoge
16 Aug
Svoge
0 : 1
Nesebar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 8 5 3 0 19:8 18
2 Yantra Gabrovo 8 5 1 2 12:7 16
3 Fratria 8 4 3 1 11:6 15
4 Etar 8 4 2 2 14:11 14
5 CSKA Sofia II 8 4 2 2 15:8 14
6 Nesebar 8 4 1 3 15:11 13
7 Chernomorets 1919 8 3 3 2 9:6 12
8 Beroe 8 3 3 2 11:8 12
9 Montana 8 3 2 3 13:12 11
10 Ludogorets II 8 3 2 3 8:8 11
11 Gorna 8 3 2 3 7:9 11
12 Spartak Pleven 8 3 1 4 10:16 10
13 Marek 8 3 1 4 7:9 10
14 Rilski Sportist 8 2 3 3 8:9 9
15 Hebar 8 2 2 4 14:16 8
16 Svoge 8 1 4 3 4:6 7
17 Dobrudzha 8 1 3 4 9:12 6
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 8 0 0 8 3:27 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)