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Stadium Background

Beroe vs Svoge - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Ferrer I.
46'
Sub
Dual W. In: Rusenov S.
Out: Dual W.
55'
Sub
Nhaga K. In: Marinov B.
Out: Nhaga K.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between Beroe and Svoge finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Beroe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Beroe
20%
Draws
20%
Svoge
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Beroe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Svoge haven't matched Beroe's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Beroe have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Beroe Clean Sheet 68%
Svoge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beroe Svoge
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.38 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Vtora liga
Beroe vs Svoge
1:0
Jun 9, 2023 efbet League
Beroe vs Svoge
1:0
Mar 28, 2010 efbet League
Svoge vs Beroe
1:2
Sep 19, 2009 efbet League
Beroe vs Svoge
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beroe Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrer I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Svoge Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beroe 41 / 100
Svoge 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beroe Svoge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beroe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beroe's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Svoge's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Svoge registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Beroe VS Svoge
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Beroe

(Home)
30 Oct
Gorna
2 : 0
Beroe
23 Oct
Beroe
3 : 1
Rilski Sportist
17 Oct
Beroe
0 : 3
Ludogorets
10 Oct
Marek
3 : 2
Beroe
04 Oct
Minyor Pernik
1 : 2
Beroe
Page 1 of 6

Svoge

(Away)
02 Nov
Svoge
1 : 1
Ludogorets II
23 Oct
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 1
Svoge
10 Oct
Svoge
1 : 3
Hebar
04 Oct
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 1
Svoge
27 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
1 : 0
Svoge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Sofia II 14 8 4 2 29:13 28
2 Chernomorets 1919 14 8 4 2 24:10 28
3 Vihren 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
4 Gorna 14 6 5 3 13:10 23
5 Yantra Gabrovo 14 7 2 5 19:14 23
6 Fratria 13 6 4 3 18:12 22
7 Beroe 14 6 3 5 21:18 21
8 Spartak Pleven 14 6 2 6 16:25 20
9 Hebar 14 6 2 6 29:24 20
10 Rilski Sportist 14 5 5 4 15:13 20
11 Etar 13 6 2 5 22:21 20
12 Ludogorets II 13 5 4 4 18:14 19
13 Marek 14 5 3 6 16:18 18
14 Nesebar 14 5 3 6 22:21 18
15 Montana 14 4 2 8 18:29 14
16 Svoge 14 2 6 6 10:15 12
17 Dobrudzha 13 2 3 8 13:26 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 14 0 1 13 5:38 1
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)