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Berwick vs Gretna 2008

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Lowland League 2025/2026 game between Berwick and Gretna 2008 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Berwick.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Berwick
15%
Draws
26%
Gretna 2008
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Berwick

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Berwick come out ahead of Gretna 2008 on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Berwick taking it.
  • Regular Lowland League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Berwick Clean Sheet 10%
Gretna 2008 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berwick Gretna 2008
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.65 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Lowland League
Gretna 2008 vs Berwick
2:7
Nov 22, 2025 Lowland League
Berwick vs Gretna 2008
3:2
Feb 8, 2025 Lowland League
Berwick vs Gretna 2008
2:2
Oct 19, 2024 Lowland League
Gretna 2008 vs Berwick
3:0
Mar 9, 2024 Lowland League
Berwick vs Gretna 2008
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berwick 83 / 100
Gretna 2008 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berwick Gretna 2008

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Berwick Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gretna 2008 conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Berwick found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Berwick has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Berwick VS Gretna 2008
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Berwick

(Home)
22 Sept
Berwick
3 : 2
Stranraer
19 Sept
Berwick
0 : 0
Musselburgh
15 Sept
Civil Service Strollers
2 : 1
Berwick
12 Sept
Berwick
1 : 2
Tranent FC
08 Sept
Berwick
1 : 0
Hibernian B
Page 1 of 7

Gretna 2008

(Away)
19 Sept
Gretna 2008
3 : 1
Celtic B
15 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
3 : 2
Gretna 2008
12 Sept
Gretna 2008
2 : 3
Pollok
29 Aug
Largs Thistle
3 : 2
Gretna 2008
22 Aug
Clydebank FC
7 : 1
Gretna 2008
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linlithgow Rose 34 24 3 7 89:39 75
2 Clydebank FC 34 23 4 7 94:39 73
3 Bonnyrigg Rose 34 21 6 7 79:42 69
4 Tranent FC 34 20 7 7 63:32 67
5 Caledonian Braves 34 18 5 11 75:48 59
6 Cumbernauld Colts 34 17 5 12 72:53 56
7 Broxburn Athletic 34 15 7 12 68:61 52
8 Berwick 34 14 7 13 62:68 49
9 Boness United 34 14 6 14 61:56 48
10 Celtic B 34 12 10 12 73:71 46
11 Cowdenbeath 34 12 9 13 51:53 45
12 Gala Fairydean Rovers 34 13 2 19 52:66 41
13 Albion Rovers 34 12 3 19 48:71 39
14 Civil Service Strollers 34 11 5 18 40:79 38
15 Stirling University 34 9 7 18 55:82 34
16 Hearts B 34 7 8 19 42:78 29
17 Gretna 2008 34 7 7 20 50:90 28
18 East Stirlingshire 34 5 3 26 48:94 18
Promotion - Highland League 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)