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Berwick vs Hearts B

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Shielfield Park, Berwick
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Daly C.
27' Event
Binnie G.
(Penalty)
33' Event
Binnie G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-4. This leg finished 3-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Berwick
15%
Draws
57%
Hearts B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hearts B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Hearts B haven't matched Berwick's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Berwick's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Berwick have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hearts B, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Berwick Clean Sheet 16%
Hearts B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berwick Hearts B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.83 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Challenge Cup
Berwick vs Hearts B
3:4
Oct 14, 2025 Lowland League
Hearts B vs Berwick
1:3
Sep 2, 2025 Lowland League
Berwick vs Hearts B
2:0
Nov 30, 2024 Lowland League
Berwick vs Hearts B
1:2
Aug 16, 2024 Lowland League
Hearts B vs Berwick
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Berwick Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Hearts B Compare

Top Goalscorer Daly C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Donkor J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berwick 84 / 100
Hearts B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berwick Hearts B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Berwick Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hearts B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Berwick found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Away concern: Hearts B has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Berwick VS Hearts B
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 83%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Berwick

(Home)
22 Aug
Berwick
0 : 2
Bonnyrigg Rose
15 Aug
Berwick
3 : 2
Stirling University
11 Aug
Berwick
3 : 4
Hearts B
08 Aug
Brechin
4 : 3
Berwick
01 Aug
Berwick
0 : 2
Hill Of Beath
Page 1 of 6

Hearts B

(Away)
11 Aug
Berwick
3 : 4
Hearts B
18 Apr
Cowdenbeath
3 : 0
Hearts B
10 Apr
Hearts B
3 : 0
Albion Rovers
03 Apr
East Stirlingshire
4 : 2
Hearts B
20 Mar
Hearts B
0 : 8
Clydebank FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clachnacuddin 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Peterhead 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
3 Rangers B 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
4 Queen of the South 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
5 Clydebank FC 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
6 St. Mirren B 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
7 Formartine Utd 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
8 Aberdeen B 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
9 East Kilbride 1 1 0 0 5:3 3
10 Stirling 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
11 Airdrieonians 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
12 Celtic B 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
13 Edinburgh City 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
14 Montrose 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
15 Hearts B 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
16 Kelty Hearts 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
17 Ross County 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
18 Alloa 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
19 Bonnyrigg Rose 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
20 Spartans 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
21 East Fife 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
22 Motherwell B 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
23 Berwick 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
24 Stranraer 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
25 Elgin City 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
26 Annan 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
27 Kilmarnock B 1 0 0 1 3:5 0
28 Cove Rangers 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
29 Cowdenbeath 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
30 Hamilton 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
31 Dumbarton 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
32 Fraserburgh 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
33 Dundee FC B 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
34 Clyde 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
35 Forfar Athletic 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
36 Banks O' Dee 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
37 Gala Fairydean Rovers 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
38 Cumbernauld Colts 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
39 Hibernian B 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
40 Dundee Utd B 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)