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Berwick vs Hearts B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Shielfield Park, Berwick
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Daly C.
27' Event
Binnie G.
(Penalty)
33' Event
Binnie G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-4. This leg finished 3-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Berwick
15%
Draws
39%
Hearts B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Berwick

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Hearts B haven't matched Berwick's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Berwick's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Berwick have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hearts B, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Berwick Clean Sheet 10%
Hearts B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berwick Hearts B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.6 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 3.23 2.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Challenge Cup
Berwick vs Hearts B
3:4
Oct 14, 2025 Lowland League
Hearts B vs Berwick
1:3
Sep 2, 2025 Lowland League
Berwick vs Hearts B
2:0
Nov 30, 2024 Lowland League
Berwick vs Hearts B
1:2
Aug 16, 2024 Lowland League
Hearts B vs Berwick
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Berwick Compare

Avg xG / game 2.48
Avg xA / game 1.61

Hearts B Compare

Top Goalscorer Daly C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Donkor J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berwick 56 / 100
Hearts B 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berwick Hearts B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Berwick Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hearts B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Berwick found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Berwick remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Berwick VS Hearts B
1.63 Goals Scored 2.83
2.25 Goals Conceded 4.83
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Berwick

(Home)
13 Oct
Berwick
1 : 0
Queen of the South
03 Oct
Cowdenbeath
4 : 0
Berwick
26 Sept
Airdrieonians
7 : 1
Berwick
22 Sept
Berwick
3 : 2
Stranraer
19 Sept
Berwick
0 : 0
Musselburgh
Page 1 of 6

Hearts B

(Away)
13 Oct
Airdrieonians
3 : 2
Hearts B
26 Sept
Ross County
14 : 0
Hearts B
22 Sept
Kelty Hearts
3 : 5
Hearts B
08 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 6
Hearts B
25 Aug
Spartans
5 : 0
Hearts B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 6 5 1 0 17:4 16
2 Ross County 6 5 0 1 30:7 15
3 Airdrieonians 6 5 0 1 21:8 15
4 Cove Rangers 6 5 0 1 19:7 15
5 Peterhead 6 5 0 1 12:4 15
6 East Kilbride 6 4 1 1 19:13 13
7 St. Mirren B 6 4 0 2 19:8 12
8 Elgin City 6 4 0 2 14:3 12
9 Alloa 6 3 3 0 12:5 12
10 Hamilton 6 4 0 2 11:4 12
11 Montrose 6 4 0 2 13:8 12
12 Celtic B 6 3 3 0 18:14 12
13 Queen of the South 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
14 Stirling 6 3 2 1 16:12 11
15 Aberdeen B 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
16 Bonnyrigg Rose 6 3 1 2 9:11 10
17 Edinburgh City 6 3 1 2 6:9 10
18 Berwick 6 3 1 2 11:15 10
19 Annan 6 2 3 1 9:5 9
20 Formartine Utd 6 3 0 3 12:10 9
21 Spartans 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
22 Kelty Hearts 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
23 Hearts B 6 3 0 3 17:29 9
24 Stranraer 6 2 1 3 16:15 7
25 East Fife 6 2 1 3 13:13 7
26 Forfar Athletic 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
27 Banks O' Dee 6 2 1 3 8:14 7
28 Dumbarton 6 2 1 3 10:19 7
29 Rangers B 6 2 0 4 11:11 6
30 Clyde 6 2 0 4 11:15 6
31 Kilmarnock B 6 1 2 3 11:16 5
32 Cumbernauld Colts 6 1 2 3 6:14 5
33 Clachnacuddin 6 1 1 4 11:17 4
34 Fraserburgh 6 1 1 4 7:21 4
35 Dundee FC B 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
36 Dundee Utd B 6 1 0 5 5:14 3
37 Gala Fairydean Rovers 6 0 2 4 3:17 2
38 Hibernian B 6 0 1 5 4:14 1
39 Cowdenbeath 6 0 0 6 6:15 0
40 Motherwell B 6 0 0 6 4:20 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)