Sport Picks

Scotland

Scottish Cup

Nairn County

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Berwick play Nairn County in the Scottish Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Berwick averaged 1.9 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Nairn County averaged 1.66 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. In past meetings, Berwick won 0, Nairn County won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 27, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Berwick and 1.06 for Nairn County. This points to a Nairn County double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Berwick

15%

Draws

45%

Nairn County

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nairn County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Berwick picked up more points recently compared to Nairn County.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 87%

Over 2.5 Goals 68%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Berwick Clean Sheet 22%

Nairn County Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 78%

Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Berwick	Nairn County
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	13	12
Draws	4	4
Losses	13	13
Goals Scored	1.9	1.66
Goals Conceded	2.07	1.59
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Scottish Cup

Berwick vs Nairn County

Possession: 42% - 40% Cards: 4 - 3

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berwick 40 / 100

Nairn County 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Berwick Nairn County

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nairn County or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.5%

1.61

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Berwick attacking → ← attacking Nairn County

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Berwick scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Nairn County let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Berwick went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Nairn County lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 40

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13