Sport Picks

Scotland

Challenge Cup 2024/2025

Match Events

Sutherland E.

Assist: Taylor F.

Mooney E.

12'

McCormick T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Challenge Cup 2024/2025. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Berwick have averaged 1.8 scored and 1.97 conceded recently, against St. Mirren B's 1.86 scored and 2.57 conceded. Head-to-head, Berwick have won 1 to St. Mirren B's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 30, 2024, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 2.38) point toward Berwick. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Berwick

20%

Draws

51%

St. Mirren B

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. Mirren B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Berwick lately — more wins on the board than St. Mirren B.
Model gives St. Mirren B a 51% chance of winning this.
Berwick have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Berwick, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Berwick Clean Sheet 10%

St. Mirren B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Berwick	St. Mirren B
Matches Played	30	14
Wins	12	4
Draws	5	2
Losses	13	8
Goals Scored	1.8	1.86
Goals Conceded	1.97	2.57
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2024 Challenge Cup

Berwick vs St. Mirren B

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Berwick Compare

Top Goalscorer MacNamara C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Devers J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

St. Mirren B Compare

Top Goalscorer Sutherland E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mooney E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.16

Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berwick 18 / 100

St. Mirren B 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Berwick St. Mirren B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Mirren B Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: St. Mirren B conceded in 100% of 14 recent games.

Berwick's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Berwick went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Berwick VS St. Mirren B

2 Goals Scored 3.25

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Berwick

(Home)

29 Aug

Broxburn Athletic

2 : 0

Berwick

25 Aug

Annan

2 : 2

Berwick

22 Aug

Berwick

0 : 2

Bonnyrigg Rose

15 Aug

Berwick

3 : 2

Stirling University

11 Aug

Berwick

3 : 4

Hearts B

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St. Mirren B

(Away)

25 Aug

East Fife

2 : 5

St. Mirren B

11 Aug

Clyde

1 : 4

St. Mirren B

07 Jul

East Kilbride

4 : 4

St. Mirren B

11 Nov

Stranraer

2 : 0

St. Mirren B

11 Oct

Kelty Hearts

2 : 1

St. Mirren B

Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Stranraer -

TBD -

Bonnyrigg Rose -

TBD -

Annan -

Queen's Park -

TBD -

Edinburgh City -

Clyde -

TBD -

Rangers B 3

Boness United 1

Fraserburgh 2

Hearts B 1

TBD -

Forfar Athletic -

Stenhousemuir -

TBD -

Falkirk -

Queen of the South -

TBD -

Airdrieonians -

Motherwell B 0

East Stirlingshire 1

East Kilbride 3

Celtic B 0

TBD -

Cove Rangers -

Ayr -

TBD -

Raith -

Peterhead -

TBD -

Dumbarton -

TBD -

Berwick 3

St. Mirren B 0

East Fife -

TBD -

St Johnstone B 2

Brechin 1

TBD -

Dunfermline -

Kelty Hearts -

TBD -

Elgin City -

TBD -

Banks O' Dee 1

Aberdeen B 0

Partick -

TBD -

Alloa -

Arbroath -

TBD -

Montrose -

Spartans -

TBD -

Livingston -

Inverness -

TBD -

Stirling -

Hamilton -

TBD -

Buckie Thistle 1

Dundee Utd B 3

Dundee FC B 2

Formartine Utd 0

Hibernian B 3

Albion Rovers 4

Cowdenbeath 4

Kilmarnock B 2

TBD -

Morton -

1/32-finals

Stranraer 2

Bonnyrigg Rose 1

TBD -

Annan -

Queen's Park -

TBD -

Edinburgh City -

Clyde 2

Rangers B 3

Fraserburgh 2

Forfar Athletic 1

Stenhousemuir -

TBD -

Falkirk -

Queen of the South -

TBD -

Airdrieonians -

East Stirlingshire 2

East Kilbride 3

TBD -

Cove Rangers -

Ayr -

TBD -

Raith -

Peterhead -

TBD -

Dumbarton 4

Berwick 0

East Fife 2

St Johnstone B 1

TBD -

Dunfermline -

Kelty Hearts -

TBD -

Elgin City 2

Banks O' Dee 1

Partick -

TBD -

Alloa -

Arbroath -

TBD -

Montrose -

Spartans -

TBD -

Livingston -

Inverness -

TBD -

Stirling -

Hamilton -

TBD -

Dundee Utd B 1

Dundee FC B 0

Albion Rovers 3

Cowdenbeath 4

TBD -

Morton -

1/16-finals

Stranraer 1

Annan 5

Queen's Park 1

Edinburgh City 0

Rangers B 5

Fraserburgh 0

Stenhousemuir 2

Falkirk 1

Queen of the South 0

Airdrieonians 3

East Kilbride 3

Cove Rangers 2

Ayr 3

Raith 2

Peterhead 1

Dumbarton 0

East Fife 0

Dunfermline 2

Kelty Hearts 3

Elgin City 1

Partick 1

Alloa 3

Arbroath 3

Montrose 0

Spartans 0

Livingston 2

Inverness 3

Stirling 0

Hamilton 4

Dundee Utd B 0

Cowdenbeath 0

Morton 1

1/8-finals

Annan 1

Queen's Park 4

Rangers B 4

Stenhousemuir 1

Airdrieonians 1

East Kilbride 2

Ayr 2

Peterhead 1

Dunfermline 2

Kelty Hearts 1

Alloa 1

Arbroath 0

Livingston 3

Inverness 2

Hamilton 0

Morton 1

Quarter-finals

Queen's Park 3

Rangers B 1

East Kilbride 3

Ayr 2

Dunfermline 1

Alloa 0

Livingston 2

Morton 1

Semi-finals

Queen's Park 6

East Kilbride 2

Dunfermline 0

Livingston 2

Final

Queen's Park 0

Livingston 5

Berwick vs St. Mirren B

Scotland

Berwick

St. Mirren B

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Berwick Compare

St. Mirren B Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Berwick

St. Mirren B

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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