Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Besa 1976 vs Arsimi

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Shefiti S.
4' Event
Shefiti S.
(Penalty)
7' Event
Beljulji M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Besa 1976 and Arsimi finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Besa 1976.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Besa 1976
20%
Draws
29%
Arsimi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Besa 1976

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arsimi come out ahead of Besa 1976 on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Besa 1976 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Besa 1976 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Besa 1976 Clean Sheet 20%
Arsimi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Besa 1976 Arsimi
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.27 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Besa 1976 vs Arsimi
4:2
Apr 20, 2024 2. MFL
Arsimi vs Besa 1976
0:2
Oct 28, 2023 2. MFL
Besa 1976 vs Arsimi
2:0
Apr 23, 2023 2. MFL
Besa 1976 vs Arsimi
1:0
Oct 29, 2022 2. MFL
Arsimi vs Besa 1976
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Besa 1976 Compare

Top Goalscorer Shefiti S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Neziri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Arsimi Compare

Top Goalscorer Beljulji M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Besa 1976 85 / 100
Arsimi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Besa 1976 Arsimi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Besa 1976 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsimi has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Besa 1976 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Besa 1976 scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arsimi
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Besa 1976

(Home)
25 May
Besa 1976
0 : 2
Bashkimi
17 May
Pelister
1 : 4
Besa 1976
11 May
Besa 1976
3 : 0
Voska Sport
07 May
Tikves
1 : 0
Besa 1976
04 May
Besa 1976
2 : 1
Brera Strumica
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Arsimi

(Away)
21 Sept
Struga
6 : 0
Arsimi
11 Sept
Arsimi
2 : 2
Shkendija Tetovo
07 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0
Arsimi
29 Aug
Arsimi
0 : 0
FK Skopje
22 Aug
Shkendija Haracine
0 : 2
Arsimi
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