Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Besa 1976 vs Bashkimi

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2024/2025 Gradski Stadion Kavadarci, Kavadarci
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Saiti H.
46'
Sub
Gavric N. In: Rexhepi A.
Out: Gavric N.
46'
Sub
Murati A. In: Asani R.
Out: Murati A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Bashkimi advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Besa 1976
15%
Draws
34%
Bashkimi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Besa 1976

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Besa 1976 have managed 1.27 goals a game lately — Bashkimi are scoring more at 1.32.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Bashkimi, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Besa 1976 Clean Sheet 68%
Bashkimi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Besa 1976 Bashkimi
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.27 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2025 1. MFL
Besa 1976 vs Bashkimi
0:2
Nov 16, 2024 Club Friendly
Besa 1976 vs Bashkimi
1:1
May 11, 2024 2. MFL
Besa 1976 vs Bashkimi
0:0
Dec 2, 2023 2. MFL
Bashkimi vs Besa 1976
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Besa 1976 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Bashkimi Compare

Top Goalscorer Saiti H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aleksovski F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Besa 1976 41 / 100
Bashkimi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Besa 1976 Bashkimi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Besa 1976 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bashkimi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Besa 1976 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Bashkimi registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bashkimi
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Besa 1976

(Home)
25 May
Besa 1976
0 : 2
Bashkimi
17 May
Pelister
1 : 4
Besa 1976
11 May
Besa 1976
3 : 0
Voska Sport
07 May
Tikves
1 : 0
Besa 1976
04 May
Besa 1976
2 : 1
Brera Strumica
Page 1 of 6

Bashkimi

(Away)
09 Sept
BVK Konjare
0 : 5
Bashkimi
05 Sept
FK Skopje
1 : 2
Bashkimi
30 Aug
Bashkimi
1 : 2
Shkendija Haracine
21 Aug
Bregalnica Stip
3 : 0
Bashkimi
14 Aug
Arsimi
1 : 0
Bashkimi
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Besa 1976 0
Bashkimi 2