Sport Picks
Besa Kavaje vs Butrinti Sarande
Albania
First Division 2021/2022 
AI Match Summary
Besa Kavaje play Butrinti Sarande in the First Division 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Besa Kavaje averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. Butrinti Sarande averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Besa Kavaje won 1, Butrinti Sarande won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 16, 2022 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Besa Kavaje and 1.19 for Butrinti Sarande. This points to a Besa Kavaje double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Besa Kavaje picked up more points recently compared to Butrinti Sarande.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.19 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Besa Kavaje | Butrinti Sarande |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Besa Kavaje Compare
Butrinti Sarande Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Besa Kavaje scored in 66% of their last 32 games.
Butrinti Sarande let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.75 goals.
Besa Kavaje went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Butrinti Sarande lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bylis | 30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 51:18 | 69 |
| 2 | Erzeni Shijak | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 57:18 | 67 |
| 3 | Korabi Peshkopi | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 35:22 | 59 |
| 4 | Apolonia Fier | 30 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 44:25 | 51 |
| 5 | Terbuni Puka | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 21:16 | 47 |
| 6 | Tomori Berat | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 45:31 | 44 |
| 7 | Lushnja | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 31:27 | 42 |
| 8 | Burreli | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 30:24 | 41 |
| 9 | Besa Kavaje | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 36:40 | 40 |
| 10 | Beselidhja Lezha | 30 | 12 | 3 | 15 | 45:54 | 39 |
| 11 | Pogradeci | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 32:37 | 38 |
| 12 | Turbina Cerrik | 30 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 31:44 | 37 |
| 13 | Butrinti Sarande | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:36 | 34 |
| 14 | Maliqi | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:62 | 23 |
| 15 | Vora | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 32:54 | 21 |
| 16 | Shkumbini Peqin | 30 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 30:76 | 18 |