Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Besa Kavaje vs Flamurtari

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ruzgis M.
(Penalty)
16' Event
Migone R.
36' Event
Ruzgis M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Kategoria e Parë matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Besa Kavaje
35%
Draws
15%
Flamurtari
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Besa Kavaje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Flamurtari haven't matched Besa Kavaje's recent run of results.
  • Besa Kavaje are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Besa Kavaje Clean Sheet 68%
Flamurtari Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Besa Kavaje Flamurtari
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 6 13
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs Flamurtari
3:3
Apr 5, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Flamurtari vs Besa Kavaje
0:2
Feb 8, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Flamurtari vs Besa Kavaje
3:1
Nov 20, 2024 Albanian Cup
Flamurtari vs Besa Kavaje
0:1
Nov 5, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs Flamurtari
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Besa Kavaje Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruzgis M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Flamurtari Compare

Top Goalscorer Migone R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gjata M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Besa Kavaje 59 / 100
Flamurtari 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Besa Kavaje Flamurtari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Besa Kavaje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flamurtari's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Besa Kavaje scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Besa Kavaje remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Besa Kavaje VS Flamurtari
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Besa Kavaje

(Home)
20 Sept
Beselidhja Lezha
2 : 1
Besa Kavaje
16 Sept
Besa Kavaje
5 : 0
KF Oriku
12 Sept
Sopoti Librazhd
0 : 4
Besa Kavaje
06 Sept
Besa Kavaje
3 : 3
Flamurtari
12 Aug
Kukesi
1 : 4
Besa Kavaje
Page 1 of 6

Flamurtari

(Away)
20 Sept
Pogradeci
0 : 0
Flamurtari
16 Sept
Kastrioti
1 : 0
Flamurtari
11 Sept
Flamurtari
1 : 1
Burreli
06 Sept
Besa Kavaje
3 : 3
Flamurtari
10 May
Vllaznia
2 : 0
Flamurtari
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogradeci 4 2 2 0 5:1 8
2 Besa Kavaje 4 2 1 1 13:5 7
3 Korabi Peshkopi 4 2 1 1 4:5 7
4 Iliria Kruja 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
5 Bylis 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
6 Kukesi 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
7 Kastrioti 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
8 Burreli 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
9 Sopoti Librazhd 4 1 2 1 5:7 5
10 Beselidhja Lezha 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
11 Flamurtari 4 0 3 1 4:5 3
12 KF Oriku 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë (Relegation)