Sport Picks

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Besa Kavaje vs Luzi

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Dabo A.
29' Event
Hoala K.
82' Event
Ba M.

AI Match Summary

Besa Kavaje in this Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Besa Kavaje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Besa Kavaje
20%
Draws
23%
Luzi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Besa Kavaje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Luzi haven't matched Besa Kavaje's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Besa Kavaje taking it.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Besa Kavaje Clean Sheet 68%
Luzi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Besa Kavaje Luzi
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 2
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.52 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs Luzi
4:1
Feb 12, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Luzi vs Besa Kavaje
0:2
Oct 29, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs Luzi
2:0
Mar 18, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Luzi vs Besa Kavaje
2:2
Oct 22, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs Luzi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Besa Kavaje Compare

Top Goalscorer Dabo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hoala K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Luzi Compare

Top Goalscorer Itodo P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Besa Kavaje 95 / 100
Luzi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Besa Kavaje Luzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Besa Kavaje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luzi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Besa Kavaje's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Besa Kavaje went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Besa Kavaje VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Besa Kavaje

(Home)
12 Aug
Kukesi
1 : 4
Besa Kavaje
25 Jul
Pogradeci
1 : 1
Besa Kavaje
18 Jul
Besa Kavaje
2 : 1
Partizani
08 Jul
Besa Kavaje
1 : 0
Laci
11 May
Pogradeci
1 : 0
Besa Kavaje
Page 1 of 7

Luzi

(Away)
15 Oct
Iliria Kruja
5 : 1
Luzi
27 Apr
Kastrioti
1 : 0
Luzi
20 Nov
Bylis
3 : 1
Luzi
16 Oct
Luzi
5 : 0
Shkumbini Peqin
08 May
Luzi
3 : 3
Vora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AF Elbasani 33 24 7 2 76:32 79
2 Bylis 33 22 5 6 55:31 71
3 Flamurtari 33 16 10 7 46:29 58
4 Vora 33 15 5 13 61:50 50
5 Apolonia Fier 33 12 10 11 44:31 46
6 Korabi Peshkopi 33 12 8 13 42:38 44
7 Kastrioti 33 10 10 13 43:47 40
8 Burreli 33 12 4 17 28:43 40
9 Lushnja 33 10 8 15 38:53 38
10 Besa Kavaje 33 10 8 15 34:47 38
11 Luzi 33 9 4 20 41:56 31
12 Tomori Berat 33 4 5 24 21:72 17
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024 (Relegation)