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Besa Kavaje vs Shkumbini Peqin

Albania Albania

First Division 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Kukaj A.
61' Event
Hyseni E.
69' Event
Hoxhaj N.

AI Match Summary

Besa Kavaje host Shkumbini Peqin in the First Division 2021/2022. Besa Kavaje are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Besa Kavaje at 0.63 goals for, 1.38 against; Shkumbini Peqin at 0 for, 0 against. Past meetings favor Besa Kavaje slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 15, 2025, ending 5:0. xG projections (0.92 - 1.19) back Besa Kavaje to edge this. Besa Kavaje in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Besa Kavaje
6%
Draws
4%
Shkumbini Peqin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Besa Kavaje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Besa Kavaje has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Shkumbini Peqin.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Besa Kavaje.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in First Division 2021/2022 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Besa Kavaje Clean Sheet 20%
Shkumbini Peqin Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Besa Kavaje Shkumbini Peqin
Matches Played 50 30
Wins 25 2
Draws 9 2
Losses 16 26
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2025 Albanian Cup
Besa Kavaje vs Shkumbini Peqin
5:0
Mar 13, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs Shkumbini Peqin
4:0
Nov 7, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Shkumbini Peqin vs Besa Kavaje
2:2
Feb 24, 2013 Abissnet Superiore
Besa Kavaje vs Shkumbini Peqin
1:1
Sep 16, 2012 Abissnet Superiore
Shkumbini Peqin vs Besa Kavaje
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Besa Kavaje Compare

Top Goalscorer Kukaj A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hyseni E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Shkumbini Peqin Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Besa Kavaje 85 / 100
Shkumbini Peqin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Besa Kavaje Shkumbini Peqin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Besa Kavaje scored in 78% of their last 50 games.

Shkumbini Peqin let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Besa Kavaje went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Shkumbini Peqin lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Besa Kavaje VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bylis30223551:1869
2Erzeni Shijak30214557:1867
3Korabi Peshkopi30178535:2259
4Apolonia Fier301631144:2551
5Terbuni Puka301211721:1647
6Tomori Berat301281045:3144
7Lushnja301012831:2742
8Burreli301011930:2441
9Besa Kavaje301241436:4040
10Beselidhja Lezha301231545:5439
11Pogradeci301081232:3738
12Turbina Cerrik301141531:4437
13Butrinti Sarande30971432:3634
14Maliqi30651932:6223
15Vora30561932:5421
16Shkumbini Peqin30532230:7618