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Besa Peja vs Tefik Canga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kosovo Kosovo

Liga e Pare
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Besa Peja host Tefik Canga in the Liga e Pare. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Tefik Canga have shipped 1.83 goals a game lately, while Besa Peja have conceded 1.33 and scored 1.33. Past meetings favor Besa Peja slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.06 - 0.88) back Besa Peja to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Besa Peja
30%
Draws
8%
Tefik Canga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Besa Peja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Besa Peja come out ahead of Tefik Canga on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Besa Peja's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Besa Peja Clean Sheet 20%
Tefik Canga Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Besa Peja Tefik Canga
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 4
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.33 1
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Liga e Pare
Besa Peja vs Tefik Canga
3:1
Nov 1, 2025 Liga e Pare
Tefik Canga vs Besa Peja
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Besa Peja 85 / 100
Tefik Canga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Besa Peja Tefik Canga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Besa Peja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tefik Canga has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Besa Peja's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Besa Peja remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Besa Peja VS Tefik Canga
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Besa Peja

(Home)
17 Oct
KF Lepenci
2 : 2
Besa Peja
11 Oct
Besa Peja
6 : 4
Kika
03 Oct
Trepca Mitrovice
1 : 0
Besa Peja
27 Sept
Besa Peja
1 : 1
Dinamo Ferizaj
19 Sept
Mitrovica
0 : 1
Besa Peja
Page 1 of 6

Tefik Canga

(Away)
18 Oct
Tefik Canga
0 : 3
Suhareka
10 Oct
Tefik Canga
0 : 1
Rilindja
03 Oct
KF Lepenci
2 : 1
Tefik Canga
27 Sept
Tefik Canga
1 : 1
Kika
21 Sept
Trepca Mitrovice
1 : 0
Tefik Canga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prishtina e Re 10 7 0 3 17:10 21
2 Liria 9 6 2 1 10:4 20
3 Dinamo Ferizaj 10 5 4 1 17:8 19
4 Rilindja 10 5 3 2 13:9 18
5 Trepca 89 10 4 5 1 11:6 17
6 Suhareka 10 4 4 2 18:10 16
7 Ferizaj 10 4 4 2 14:6 16
8 2 Korriku 10 4 3 3 7:5 15
9 Istogu 10 4 1 5 10:15 13
10 Besa Peja 10 3 3 4 14:14 12
11 Vjosa 10 2 5 3 10:9 11
12 Vellaznimi 10 3 2 5 12:19 11
13 Trepca Mitrovice 10 3 2 5 7:15 11
14 Ramiz Sadiku 10 1 6 3 11:15 9
15 KF Lepenci 10 1 6 3 8:12 9
16 Kika 10 1 6 3 8:13 9
17 Mitrovica 9 0 5 4 5:12 5
18 Tefik Canga 10 0 3 7 7:17 3
Promotion - Superliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga (Relegation)